Aston Villa Top 6 Finish odds set to drop following successful transfer window

Aston Villa Top 6 Finish odds set to drop following successful transfer window

Aston Villa Top 6 Finish odds set to drop following successful transfer window

Continuing a trend seen by the club since their relegation to the Championship back in 2016, Aston Villa brought in several new faces over the last transfer window, with hopes that it can finally be enough to push them back to the top tier of English football.

They kicked off January transfer window 2019 with the signing of Gent goalkeeper Lovre Kalinic, who moved to Villa Park on the 1st of January after seeing a bid of around £5.4 million accepted by his parent club shortly before Christmas.

After much deliberation, more signings joined the club towards the end of the window, and it’s enough to see a change in the Championship promotion odds, both to win the league and make it into the top six.

Fluctuations in price since the Championship season kicked-off

When the Championship Top 6 Finish odds were first released in June, any bookmakers who were offering a price set Aston Villa at 2/1 to make it into the top six.

The odds only made minor fluctuations over the passing months – influenced both by their results in the Championship and bets being placed by football fans across the country – before the Aston Villa odds finally went as low as EVENS after a stoppage-time Jonathan Kodjia goal salvaged a point at home to Brentford in August. A disappointing away defeat to Millwall had Villa winning one of their last three, seeing their odds move back to 2/1, where they’ve continued to change through Dean Smith’s topsy-turvy start to life at Aston Villa after taking on the role in October.

With it appearing like the safe option this season, Villa are back to 2/1 to make the top 6 in the Championship this season, but recent transfers indicate that there could be a change on the cards, and their meeting away to Reading is a perfect opportunity to capitalise.

Tom Carroll Swansea City Aston Villa Tottenham Hotspur

Aston Villa completed their January transfer window with the loan signing of Tom Carroll.

Following the signing of Lovre Kalinic, Dean Smith continued to focus on defensive reinforcements, as Aston Villa signed Bournemouth’s Tyrone Mings, as well as Wolves’ Kortney Hause, both on loan. He then opted to look towards the future, bringing in Caen right-back Frederic Guilbert for a reported £4.5 million but immediately loaning him back to the Ligue 1 club for the rest of the season.

The window also saw some offloading, Jacob Bedeau joining Scunthorpe United on a permanent deal, Rushian Hepburn-Murphy joining Cambridge United on loan, Scott Hogan joining Sheffield United on loan, Ross McCormack joining Motherwell on loan, and James Bree joining Ipswich Town on loan. The outgoings were sensible but replacements were needed to offer more creativity in going forward, not helped by Yannick Bolasie cutting his loan short and returning to Everton midway through the window.

A lot of the January transfer window for Aston Villa focused on which central midfielder they’d choose to bring in. It appeared to be a conundrum between two Swansea City midfielders, with former Norwich City and Queens Park Rangers midfielder Leroy Fer, and former Tottenham Hotspur midfielder Tom Carroll being the two options. SkyBet’s Leroy Fer transfer odds dropped as low at 1/3 during deadline day, indicating that a move was extremely close, but Aston Villa opted for Tom Carroll on loan, with the option of making the deal permanent in the summer.

A reoccurring trend of poor spending at Villa Park

The spending at Villa Park has been something to behold over past years, starting when they were first relegated from the Premier League, where they paid out an estimated £77 million over both windows. They were able to make up around £41 million in the sales of Idrissa Gueye, Adama Traore, Rudy Gestede, Ciaran Clark, Jordan Ayew, Ashley Westwood, Scott Sinclair, and several others.

Incoming players weren’t extremely shrewd, spending £12.7 million on Ross McCormack alone, who was regarded as a flop at the club since joining. It’s hoped that putting effort into loan moves for unused Premier League players will pay off for Villa, because overspending on Championship players certainly hasn’t