Premier League relegation odds suggest Brighton in trouble

Premier League relegation odds suggest Brighton in trouble

Brighton and Cardiff to battle it out to avoid Premier League relegation

The Premier League relegation battle intensified after Cardiff City secured a 2-0 win against Brighton & Hove Albion at the AMEX Stadium.

It was a result that dragged the Seagulls right into the dogfight, indeed they are now just two points above the Welsh side with only a handful of fixtures remaining.

Albion have imploded spectacularly this week, with the defeat against Cardiff coming after an embarrassing 5-0 home loss to AFC Bournemouth. In truth, it is actually since the turn of the year that Brighton’s results have nosedived.

They have picked up a meagre eight points so far in 2019 which is the second lowest tally of anyone in the Premier League, with only Huddersfield Town having won fewer points in that time. There win ratio for this calendar year is way down at 15%, as opposed to the 35% record they had between August and December which shows just how much they have dropped off.

Speaking after their defeat to the Bluebirds, manager Chris Hughton said: “We are on the back of two poor home defeats. We don’t have a choice and we have a fight on our hands. This is a proper fight. We have to make sure we turn it round by staying together, digging deep and making ourselves hard to beat.”

In the last week Brighton’s odds to be relegated from the Premier League have been significantly cut. Prior to their game against Bournemouth, they were a huge 20/1 to go down with Betfair but following the back-to-back defeats they have now been slashed down to 5/2 with the same bookmaker.

Bruno Brighton and Hove Albion

Brighton and Hove Albion’s captain Bruno looks distraught after their loss to Cardiff City.

Run-in looks extremely difficult for Brighton

With Brighton now looking over their shoulders at the bottom three, fans will begin to look at their remaining fixtures to see where they might pick up some points. However, the Seagulls run-in looks extremely difficult and based on how they have been playing of late there is certainly an argument to say they will fail to win another game.

They must still go to both Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal, whilst also taking on a Manchester City side who are likely to still be fighting for the league title on the last day of the campaign. Their fixture at home against Newcastle United looks like the most winnable on paper, with their other game being away against a Wolves side who have been outstanding this term.

It looks like they will need at least one more win and potentially a draw to survive, but Hughton will need to get much more out of his side if they are to win those valuable points. Their top goalscorer Glenn Murray has failed to score a goal at home since 4th December which has been a huge factor in their downturn in form, as has the inability to keep clean sheets which has been a staple of their game since arriving in the Premier League.

Another reason for their struggles could well be the injury to last years star player Pascal Gross. The German playmaker has been missing since February with a hamstring problem, and they have certainly missed his creativity and eye for goal. He did though return to the team against Cardiff, they will certainly need him to rediscover his best form in the run-in if they want to stay up.

Premier League fixtures

Brighton’s fixture list for the remainder of the season looks extremely tough.

Is the momentum now with Cardiff City?

With regards to Cardiff City, it could now be argued that the momentum is very much with Neil Warnock’s men. The Welsh side looked dead and buried just a week ago as they sat five points adrift of safety, but with just two points now in it they will feel that the great escape is definitely on.

There appears to be a real togetherness within the squad at Cardiff. They have endured an extremely difficult time with the sad loss of Emiliano Sala, whilst they have also been on the wrong end of a couple of poor errors from officials including an offside goal against them by Chelsea’s Cesar Azpilicueta recently.

But they have bounced back from the adversity time and time again, showing incredible resilience that could serve them well in their final four matches of the season. Whilst they do have encounters with Liverpool and Manchester United to come, they will surely pin point games against Fulham and Crystal Palace as opportunities to pick up points.

Warnock himself certainly believes his side can get themselves out of trouble. After their win against Brighton he said: “We’re quite capable of picking points up off any of the teams we’ve got to play. You might think I’m in cuckoo land, but I think that we’ve got that ability on our day.”

Despite their optimism, the bookmakers still believe that Cardiff will be relegated to the Championship. Indeed their odds to go down with bet365 are still as low as 1/3, although prior to yesterday they were way out at 1/25.

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