Middlesbrough vs Derby County Betting Preview – 27/10/2018

Middlesbrough vs Derby County Betting Preview – 27/10/2018

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Middlesbrough vs Derby County

Arguably the pick of the Championship’s fixtures this weekend, Saturday’s early kick-off sees Tony Pulis’ 2nd place Middlesbrough face Frank Lampard’s 5th place Derby.

With just two points separating the entire top six, it’s anyone’s guess how the table might look come Saturday evening but both sides will be looking to consolidate their place in the top two, given they both have lofty ambitions of promotion this season.

As has been an emerging theme for Middlesbrough, they were left frustrated in a fixture that they should have targeted three points from, after failing to beat struggling Rotherham in a goalless draw on Tuesday night. It’s reminiscent of their recent 1-1 draw with Hull or their 2-2 draw in the season opener at Millwall.

After winning four straight games in August, much like their Yorkshire rivals at the top of the table, Leeds, Pulis’ side have struggled to string a run of wins together, though they have consistently picked up points and are yet to go on a bad run. Not since August have Boro won two games in a row, but only on two occasions have they failed to win consecutive games. After losing at Norwich, they came back with a win against Bolton. After being held at Hull, they beat Ipswich. After going into the international break on the back of a defeat to Nottingham Forest, they returned by defeated Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 away. The pattern suggests that after the midweek bore draw, they’re likely to respond.

There is, however, something of a problem emerging at the Riverside. After winning their first four matches at home, keeping a clean sheet in each, they have failed to win their last three matches on home soil and have failed to score in each as well. This suggests that Pulis men are struggling to break down sides that are happy to play deeper and defensively – Lampard in his early months as a manager has already shown aptitude in setting up correctly away from home, most notably as his team knocked Manchester United out of the Carabao Cup at Old Trafford.

After two of Boro’s last two home games have finished goalless, the odds of 7/1 for no goals from Bet365, Skybet and Betfair might be worth considering. If you don’t want to be so bold, odds of 8/13 with Unibet and Betfred for less than 2.5 goals are also worth a bet, something always in the running with a Tony Pulis side at play. Should Middlesbrough end their drought at home, Britt Assombalonga is the most likely to do so, with three goals in his last seven appearances (three of which were as a substitute): SkyBet, Ladbrokes and William Hill are all offering odds of 9/2 that he’s the man to break the deadlock and score first.

Derby County might have got the scalp of Jose Mourinho’s Manchester United but in between the last two international breaks, they only won one of five league fixtures and were struggling for form, with a 1-0 loss at Bolton and 1-1 draw at QPR particularly disappointing.

But they have returned back from the international break in quite stunning form, perhaps buoyed by the international call-ups for the young Welshmen in the team and Mason Mount for England (though he didn’t feature). After beating then-league leaders Sheffield United last Saturday, they thrashed West Brom 4-1 away, their first on the road in the league since the start of September.

Jack Marriott has been a key part of Derby’s recent good form, scoring and assisting in each of their last two games and looking a surefire bet to lead the line ahead of the veteran David Nugent. There’s also the young, sprightly forward three that sit behind, with Mason Mount, Tom Lawrence and Harry Wilson with nine goals between them and looking better and more assured as the season progresses.

There will be small concerns over the defence however, with Derby having conceded a solitary goal in each of their last six league games: they outscored Sheffield United and West Brom, but they proved costly against QPR, Norwich and Bolton before that. Bet365 offer the longest odds that Derby will win and concede, again, at 15/2. Jack Marriott can be backed at odds of 29/10 through Unibet to score anytime for Derby.

Recommended bets:

Jack Marriott to score anytime at 29/10 with Unibet – BET HERE

Under 2.5 goals at 8/13 with Betfred – BET HERE

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