Premier League Betting Preview 28/04/18 – 01/05/18

Premier League Betting Preview 28/04/18 – 01/05/18

Premier League Betting Preview 28/04/18 – 01/05/18

With just three weeks left in the Premier League season there’s still relegation and European places to be decided so there’s still plenty of teams fighting for points. The Premier League title may have already been decided but clubs up and down the table still have a lot left to play for. Here’s our predictions and betting tips for this weekends fixtures.

Liverpool vs Stoke City

Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool side come into this one on the back of their 5-2 first leg Champions League Semi-Final victory over Roma in midweek. Klopp’s men know they’re in prime position to reach their first Champions League final since 2007.  They still have some work to do after their late defensive breakdown, conceding twice having held a comfortable 5-0 lead with 80 minutes played at Anfield on Tuesday. Klopp will likely rest players ahead of the 2nd leg in Rome on Wednesday but still needs a win here to secure a Champions League spot for next season, if they aren’t successful in the competitions itself. Liverpool still need 5 more points to ultimately confirm their Champions League spot for next season, and defeat here would put a lot of pressure on the Reds to get something out of next weekends game with Chelsea. Mohammed Salah was taken off early on Tuesday so will likely have the chance to move closer to the Premier League record for goals in a season here. Salah currently has 31 Premier League goals this season, just 3 behind Alan Shearer and Andy Cole’s joint record of 34, with three matches still to play for the Egyptian. Liverpool are clearly prioritising the Champions League for the rest of the season however and if last weekends draw with bottom side West Brom is anything to go by then they may not be in for an easy afternoon again on Saturday.

Back to back 1-1 draws against West Ham and Burnley haven’t been enough to push the Potters outside of the relegation zone.  They currently sit 4 points away from safety with just 3 games to play. They need something this weekend to give them hope coming into their final two games of the season against relegation rivals Crystal Palace and Swansea. Stoke have never won a Premier League game at Anfield and will need to break that streak here. Paul Lambert’s side are now without a win in their last 11 matches and defeat here could end their stay in the Premier League. Stoke have scored in four of their last five matches however so will be confident of getting past a much changed Liverpool side this weekend.

Recommended Bets

Salah to score first: (2/1 at SkyBet)

BTTS: (5/6 at BetVictor)

Crystal Palace vs Leicester City

Roy Hodgson’s Crystal Palace side come into this one knowing that they’re almost certain of Premier League football next season. With 35 points from their 35 League games so far this season, Palace know that a win here will almost guarantee their survival. That’ll be a relief to the Palace faithful who feared the worst after winning just one of their opening 12 games of the Premier League season.  Last weekends goalless draw with Watford was just Palace’s 2nd clean sheet in 12 games so will be looking to build on their defensive display with a good result here. Star man Wilfried Zaha has been key to their survival and the Ivorian has 3 goals in his last 3 league games so will be looking to add to his tally here.

It’s 3 matches without a win now for Leicester in the Premier League.  The Foxes are comfortably safe from the drop and their loss to Burnley a few weeks ago ended their hopes of Europa League football for next campaign. Claude Puel has done well with this Leicester side and has led them to a comfortable mid table finish after the sacking of Craig Shakespeare in October. The Foxes seem to have taken their foot off the gas of late with just one win in their last 4 matches including a disappointing goalless draw with Southampton last time out and with nothing left to play for, you wouldn’t expect results to pick up too much before the end of the campaign.

Recommended Bets

Crystal Palace to win: (1/1 at PaddyPower)

Over 2.5 goals: (5/6 at LadBrookes)

Chelsea vs Swansea City

Antonio Conte’s side know that a win here will keep their Champions League hopes alive. After Spurs’ defeat to Manchester City and their draw with Brighton and Liverpool slipping up at West Brom a Champions League place, although extremely unlikely, hasn’t quite slipped out of Chelsea’s reach yet. Last weekends FA Cup Semi-Final victory against Southampton has given Conte a chance of winning a trophy this season, but the likelihood of missing out on Champions League football will be a massive loss to Chelsea next campaign. The recent form of January signing Olivier Giroud has improved Chelsea a lot as of late. The Frenchman has 3 in his last 3 in all competitions and is beginning to force Alvaro Morata out of the first team.

Swansea have found themselves thrust back into the relegation battle. Losing just one game in 13 after hiring Carlos Carvalhal in January the Swans looked set to comfortably avoid the drop but their current run of 6 games without a win has meant that they’re right back in danger at the bottom of the table. Swansea now sit in 17th place on 33 points with 4 games remaining and will want to pick up points quickly to avoid relying on two relegation six pointers in their final two matches to avoid the drop. The swans host the 2 sides directly below them in the League in Southampton and Stoke in their final two matches and won’t want to have the pressure of needing points on them going into those fixtures. Last weekends 5-0 hammering by Manchester City only lowered the confidence of a desperate Swansea side and a visit to Chelsea isn’t a fixture that Swansea fans would want at this stage of the season.

Recommended Bets

Under 2.5 goals: (17/20 at Betfair)

Giroud to score: (9/5 at PaddyPower)

West Ham vs Manchester City

Pep Guardiola’s newly crowned champions haven’t slowed down since securing the Premier League title. City ran rampant last weekend against relegation threatened Swansea in a 5-0 hammering. City are still chasing the record for most Premier League points and a win here would give them another step to being the first Premier League side to reach the 100 point mark and could reach 102 by the end of the campaign if they win all of their remaining 4 matches. Guardiola’s side are back to their best and are now looking for their 3rd victory in a row in the Premier League. With the injury to Sergio Aguero, Gabriel Jesus has stepped up and scored 3 in his last 3 matches as the Brazilian looks to increase his chances for starting for Brazil in the World Cup. Despite that missed penalty last weekend the forward added the final goal in the 5-0 rout and has returned to the form he had before his own injury and looks set to add to his goal tally this weekend.

West Ham continue their run of tricky fixtures with the visit of new champions Manchester City. David Moyes’ side are on a run where they’re playing 6 of the current top 10 in their final 7 fixtures including last weekends defeat 4-1 defeat to Arsenal and with home games against Manchester United and Everton to come as well as a trip to Leicester the Hammers don’t look like they’re going to have much end of season joy.  In that defeat to Arsenal the Hammers were outclassed in the final 10 minutes, conceding 3 of the goals right at the end of the game. With Premier League safety assured, Moyes has done the job he was asked to do when he was brought in but his future as boss isn’t certain just yet. They’re recent 1-1 away draw with Chelsea will give them some hope of getting something out of this game but its likely City will have too much for them.

Recommended Bets

Jesus to score first: (7/2 at SkyBet)

Man City to win to nil: (6/5 at Coral)

Manchester United vs Arsenal

Its the end of a chapter in one of the Premier Leagues great rivalries when Arsene Wenger manages his final match against Manchester United on Sunday.  With Wenger at the helm Arsenal and United have had some of the biggest games in Premier League history and some of the most memorable moments since the Premier Leagues inception in 1992. This could also be the final time that Wenger matches up against his rival Jose Mourinho so will be desperate to get one other on the Portuguese in what could be their final match up. Arsenal will be gutted after conceding a late equaliser in the first leg of their Europa League Semi-Final with Atletico Madrid on Thursday and now face an uphill battle to give Wenger a chance of winning his first European trophy. Arsenal will have one eye on the second leg next Thursday but that won’t stop Wenger wanting to get one over on Mourinho so it could still be a close game here.

Jose Mourinho’s Manchester United need just 7 points out of their final 4 games to secure 2nd place in the Premier League and just 2 to confirm their place in the Champions League for next season. Despite being a massive 16 points off of leaders Manchester City, Mourinho’s United have still improved massively on last seasons 6th place and are reasserting themselves as a Champions League regular. They still have a chance of winning a trophy this season too, after last weekends 2-1 FA Cup Semi-Final victory over Spurs where United were very impressive in the second half. The midfield three of Nemanja Matic, Ander Herrera and Paul Pogba took control of the game and allowed for the attacking three to shine, especially ex-Arsenal man Alexis Sanchez. Sanchez extended his record of scoring in every game he’s played at Wembley and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he kept up his good form and haunted his old club here with a goal.

Sanchez to score: (17/10 at Betfair)

Man Utd to win and over 2.5 goals: (21/20 at Coral)

Tottenham vs Watford

Monday night football sees a deflated Spurs side take on Watford at Wembley. Mauricio Pocchetino’s side are without a win in their last 3 games, including defeat in last weekends FA Cup Semi-Final to Manchester United, meaning they’ll be no trophy for Spurs once again this season. They need to bounce back soon however, or they risk losing the final Champions League spot to Chelsea. Spurs currently have a five point gap back to Chelsea but defeat here could make their final few games much more nervy. Harry Kane will want to repeat the end of season form which he showed at the end of last season when he got 8 goals in his final 4 League games. He will need a run like that as well to have any chance of catching Mohammed Salah in the hunt for the golden boot, so expect Kane to be at his best here.

Watford have become guilty of being a side that have took their foot off the pedal towards the end of the season. They haven’t won in any of their last 6 Premier League matches and that doesn’t seem like its going to improve an with a trip to Wembley on Monday. Javi Gracia’s side are basically safe from relegation, already sitting on 38 points with 3 games remaining. Gracia will however be wanting his side to end the season on a high to give him a chance of keeping the job for the long term. Last weekends 0-0 draw at home to Palace edged them even closer to that magic 40 point mark and it was their first clean sheet since the start of March so will be looking to build on that defensive performance here.

Recommended Bets

Kane to score 2 or more goals: (9/4 at Betfred)

Spurs to win to nil: (4/6 at SkyBet)