2019 Genesis Open Betting Preview

2019 Genesis Open Betting Preview

2019 Genesis Open

The PGA Tour remains in California this week, as the players head to the renowned Riviera Country Club, for the Genesis Open.

This is an event rich in history, and more often than not the winner of this event has also won or gone on to win a major championship, to highlight the calibre of player expected to win here.

Contenders

Dustin Johnson is a former winner of this event (2017) and two-time runner-up and headlines what should be an excellent week. After winning the inaugural staging of the Saudi International a fortnight ago, Johnson barely made the cut at Pebble Beach, which is usually one of his favoured spots. This could probably be chalked up to jet lag and travel issues, so expect a bounce back performance this week, at another venue he loves. Since missing the cut in 2013, Johnson’s form reads 2-2-4-1-16, and he was also 3rd in 2010, so it is unlikely that Sunday comes without Johnson’s name featuring towards the top of the leaderboard.

Rory McIlroy has been in good form of late, posting back-to-back top-5 finishes at the Tournament of Champions (T4) and the Farmers Insurance Open (T5). These were two new events to Rory, who does not normally play the PGA Tour early in the year. Given how he performed in those two events, there’s a strong possibility he performs well at Riviera this week, where he’s played twice before (2016 & 2018), finishing T20 on both occasions. Riviera rewards accurate and long driving, which is Rory’s strength, and form here also correlates well with Augusta, where we know the Northern Irishman has gone close on multiple occasions.

In typically solid form and returning to a venue where he continues to improve, Justin Thomas will be confident of making an impact on the leaderboard this weekend. In four starts here Thomas has never missed a cut, but in his first three attempts, his highest finish was 39th. Last year however, Thomas finished in a tie for 9th, to post his first career top-10 here, and with this finish in recent memory, he should head into the week with plenty of encouragement.

Four wins in his past ten starts, Bryson DeChambeau is the form player in the world right now, and is expected to go on and win a major this season. A win here at Riviera is normally a tell-tale sign of a major victory either before or after winning this tough test, so Bryson will be hoping to add this trophy to his collection. After withdrawing on his debut, following an opening-round 73, DeChambeau returned 12 months ago, completing four rounds here for the first time. He could only finish in a tie for 41st, breaking par just once (69 in round 2), but he also shot no worse than 72. Clearly expected to post his career-best this week, it will be intriguing to see how arguably the best player in the world right now, gets on here.

Spaniard, Jon Rahm has been a consistent feature at the top of the leaderboard ever since he turned professional, and this season has been no different. Since finishing T11 at the Tour Championship last September, Rahm has finished inside the top-10 on six of his seven starts, including a win at the Hero World Challenge, in the Bahamas. 6th, 5th and 10th in his last three starts, Rahm will be expecting a good week, even on his maiden start at this event.

Xander Schauffele has been in electric form this season, and if DeChambeau is the form player in the world right now, Schauffele is not far behind. Two wins already on the season, firstly at the WGC HSBC Champions, then the Tournament of Champions, it’s hard to look past him in any given week. He finished T10 last time out in Phoenix, and his worst finish so far this season came two starts ago at Torrey Pines, where he finished T25. Considering he’d never made the cut in three starts in the Farmers Insurance Open before, that T25 was clearly an improvement and indicative of his form. Schauffele made his debut in this event last season, finishing in a tie for 9th and got better each round. Expect plenty this week.

Bubba Watson may not always be the most popular player on Tour, but he’s one of the best and he likes it here at Riviera. Watson may not be the most accurate hitter, but his power allows him to advance it from the Kikuya rough here, should he stray off line. As a result, Watson has three wins in this event, all coming in the last five renewals here, so he has to be respected. After a lull in form, Watson found something at another one of his favoured stops, the Phoenix Open last time out and he’ll be raring to go this week. Like Augusta though, Watson performs better when not defending, so he’d have to break a trend this week.

Before the end of his career, Tiger Woods will be desperate to record a victory here. Woods has played this event nine times and never won, making it the only remaining event he’s played on more than four occasions and not won. It’s a mind blowing stat, and shows just how tough this course can be. Woods is a one in a generation talent and this course always got the better of him, something he will no doubt find hard to accept. Now the host at this event, Woods has extra duties beyond just playing, which won’t exactly help with his preparation. This will be Woods’ 10th start here, and when playing for the first time in eleven years here twelve months ago, Tiger missed the cut. Will he ever better his two runner-up finishes here? Last time out Woods finished T20 at Torrey Pines, which was his first start of 2019, so he’s lightly run so far this year.

Fresh off his Monday victory at Pebble Beach, where he tied Mark O’Meara’s five wins in the event, Phil Mickelson returns to Riviera in a buoyant mood. Unlike Woods, Mickelson has won here but it took him until 2008 to do so. His second win however came a lot quicker as he successfully defended his title in 2009. He’s played six times since, making every cut but varying in results. 2nd in 2014 and 6th last year, Mickelson may well be looking to win on back-to-back starts for the first time since 2013

Dark Horses

Despite finishing 2nd in each of his last two starts (T2 Singapore, 2nd Pebble Beach), Paul Casey still trails a fair way behind the leading favourites. Not only is he in great form, but Casey has also gone close here, losing to a play-off to James Hahn in 2015. If the Monday finish doesn’t affect his preparation, he could be in for another good week.

JT Poston has played some good golf this season, notably when T7 at the Desert Classic. Three more top-26 finishes, including last time out in Phoenix suggests Poston is playing well enough to perform well here. Given he was T17 here on debut here in 2017, despite a third-round 73, it’s fair to say Poston has every chance of keeping up his strong form this week. Perhaps winning may be tough for him in this field, but a top-10 certainly isn’t beyond his reach.

Recommend Bets: 

Xander Schauffele to win (each way) at 22/1 with Bet365 – BET HERE

JT Poston to finish inside the top-10 at 11/1 with Bet365 – BET HERE

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