Aviva Premiership Round-Up: Round 6

Aviva Premiership Round-Up: Round 6

Bath Rugby vs Exeter Chiefs

Exeter take one of their shortest away trips to Bath under the Friday night lights. Only last week in a statement, Bath said they feel as if they can beat any side on their day. After coming up short against Saracens last time out, they get another chance to prove the statement is correct as they take on the second top team in the Premiership. The Rec is always a tricky place to go and play, but the Chiefs look in unbeatable form after the first rounds of the Premiership. This one is live on BT Sport.

Try scorers and Predictions

Bath start with both Freddie Burns and Rhys Priestland on Friday night. Burns, at full-back may well provide a second receiver role in attack increasing the ability to get the ball to dangerous wingers Joe Cokanasiga and Semesa Rokduguni. Anytime try scorer for these two is priced at 2/1 for Cokanasiga and 6/4 for Rokdugun. To beat the Champions, you have to be strong on the back row. With Zach Mercer, Tom Ellis and Taulupe Faletau present, Bath do have a great opportunity to do this. Last week at the Allianz, Bath conceded 50 points, but still picked up 3 tries. Against similar opposition and the way the Premiership has been this season, we recommend a bet on Bath to score over 2.5 tries, priced at 11/10 with Bet365.

As a team, Exeter have made 716 carries in the Premiership so far this season. The most. They’re great at picking and go around the 5meter area to nudge themselves over for a try. As demonstrated on TV, they’ve started to use three forwards in a pod to generate more force to score. Picking a forward to score a try in this match would be very wise. Don Armand, the club captain is our recommended man at 12/5. The Chiefs, usually in the second half, go through strong periods. They wear their opponents down and fatigue usually sets in. Exeter to score three unanswered tries is priced at 6/4.

Again, Exeter just look too strong. Even without a couple of their biggest names, they still look like a Champion team. Gareth Steenson and Henry Slade will open their game up and we fancy Exeter to win by 6-10 points priced at 9/2 with Bet365.

Northampton Saints vs Leicester Tigers

The East Midlands derby takes a trip down the M1 on Saturday. It will be played at Twickenham to honour former Saints player Rob Horne. Horne suffered life-changing injuries in this fixture at Welford Road last season, and the rugby community is pulling together to raise money to a very worthy charity. The Saints found their scoring boots last week in Bristol as they put 45 points on the scoreboard. Their defence, just like Leicester’s, is questionable. We recommend a bet on there being more than 8 tries. The Tigers have played Worcester and Sale over the last two rounds and have struggled to find any form. This could be a classic derby. It’s live on BT Sport.

Try scorers and Predictions

Seemingly, Saints have uncovered a gem of a signing. Taqele Naiyaravoro is a massive player on their wing, and certainly fills the hole left by George North. The Australian was powering through Bristol’s defence last week. He comes up against a defence who have conceded the most points this season so we recommend a bet on him to score a couple. This is priced at evens with Bet365. Jaime Gibson has a tendency to score in this future. The ex-Tiger picked up a key try in Saints fightback at Welford Road a couple of seasons ago. The powerful forward is priced at 10/3 to score any try.  

Ben Youngs and Manu Tuilagi are back into the Tigers starting line-up as they play their third match in as many seasons at Twickenham. But it’s Tuilagi’s first match at England’s biggest rugby stadium since the 2013 final against Saints. He scored in this match, and the odds of him repeating this feat are priced at 13/5 with Bet365. Jonny May has picked up five tries this season, an average of one per game. Him to dot down anytime is priced at 13/10. The Tigers defence has been leaky, but their attack has been on fine form under Geordan Murphy’s eyes. We recommend a bet for the team to score more than 3.5 tries.

Anything can happen on Derby day. Especially when the fixture is moved to Twickenham. Saints have a bit of an extra emotional swing, and this could help swing the result in their favour. We recommend Northampton to win priced at 5/6.

Wasps vs Gloucester Rugby

Gloucester have stuttered and stalled a little following their impressive start to the 2018/19 campaign. This doesn’t mean they’ve weakened, and Danny Cipriani proved that by being selected as the Premiership player of the month for September. Wasps are starting to generate their attacking spark and are certainly the closest team to Exeter and Saracens. The Cherry and Whites will have to work hard in their back three to walk away from the Ricoh as victories. Something only Exeter have managed in the last 10 months.

Try scorers and Predictions

Christian Wade is still yet to score a try this season. The Wasps winger has played in four of the five games, and back home he’ll be desperate to get across the line. Wade has scored 98 tries for Wasps. Closing in on the 100 mark adds motivation. Surely he’ll score one in his fifth match? He’s priced at 10/11 to end his dry streak. Wasps number 8 Nathan Hughes has been turning plenty of ball over this season and winning penalties as a result of this. With rain forecast and an edgy match, Billy Searle’s young boots may need to be trusted. We recommend a bet on there being more than 3.5 penalties.

Gloucester have lost their last two matches against Saracens and then Harlequins at home. Coming to Wasps trying to stop this rot is an extra challenge for them. They’ll need to rely on longstanding winger Charlie Sharples to add to his tally. He’s joint top try scorer this season with six. He’s placed at 8/5 with Bet365. Ed Slater is now well established in the Cherry and Whites pack. The Gloucester captain will step up in this big game, and if he continues to win lineouts (23 so far this season), he could well form a rolling maul and score himself. He’s priced at 10/1 to score anytime.

Wasps are the closest team to the top two, and Gloucester’s early momentum has stalled. Pulling this one out of the bag will be too tricky for Gloucester. We recommend a Wasps win priced at 4/11 with Bet365.

Sale Sharks vs Newcastle Falcons

The Northern clash takes place at the AJ Bell Stadium this weekend. It’s an important game for both sides. The loser will be at the bottom of the table after a quarter of the season already gone.  It’ll give an indication of how good Dean Richard’s side are after having a very tough run of opening fixtures which has put them 11th in the table. Sale, who are at the bottom of the table, came close to beating Tigers last weekend. The lack of a goal-kicker meant the pressure stayed on the Sharks and Steve Diamond.

Try scorers and Predictions

AJ McGuinty didn’t feature in last weeks match at Welford Road. If he did, the Sharks would arguably have beaten Leicester as they lost by the kicks Cliff missed at goal. Sharks have scored 10 tries this season, but 3 last weekend proved their ability. Marland Yarde scored one last weekend taking his season total up to 3. The odds on him scoring the first try are priced at 15/2. These two teams have a combined total of 206 points scored in 5 matches. A result replicating this is likely. We recommend a result with under 4.5 tries scored in the match.

Newcastle Falcons have been beating defenders after defenders. A total of 142, places them 2nd in the season stats. Simon Hammersley has contributed to many of these and is well overdue a try. The Falcons full-back to score anytime is priced at 11/4 with Bet365. The starting 15 includes six ex Leicester Tigers’. Toby Flood’s experience he picked up at Leicester will be vital in a crucial game like this. He could end up controlling the ball from the boot. Over 3.5 penalties scored is a bet we recommend.

It’s a tough one to call because of the teams Newcastle have played. Falcons could get dragged into a relegation scrap if they don’t win this fixture. We fancy Newcastle to win by 6-10 priced at 7/1.

Harlequins vs Saracens

The second game to take place in Twickenham this weekend sees Quins host Saracens. The Champions are in fine form and have picked up maximum league points after five games! Quite some feat! However, Harlequins have a very good record at home against Saracens, probably one of the best records in the league. Saracens haven’t won at the Stoop since 2014, something which they’ll no doubt have in their minds come Saturday night.

Try scorers and Predictions

A victory over Gloucester puts Quins in a good position this weekend. They’ll be boosted by two fan favourites at the club making milestone appearances. Mike Brown plays his 300th club game for Harlequins. If you fancy him getting a try on his special day, you can get him priced at 10/3. Meanwhile, Danny Care hits his 250th appearance for Harlequins. Care has already been in try-scoring form this season, and if you fancy him getting one on his major milestone, he’s priced at 11/4. It could be a memorable afternoon for Harlequins fans if their celebrations go to plan.

Saracens have been lethal this season. Liam Williams is the joint Premiership try scorer so far but doesn’t feature in the Saracens team this week. Instead, in-form Alex Lewington takes his place on the wing. If you fancy him adding to his five tries so far this season, he’s priced at 11/10. There’s been plenty of support for Alex Goode’s England call-up. He’s another notable player missing out on Eddie Jones’ latest England selection. If you fancy him scoring to show Jones what he is made of then you can catch him priced at 5/2 to score anytime.

Harlequins know how to beat Saracens. They keep the ball in the forwards and go through the middle. They’ve done it for the last four years on home turf. On a double milestone day, we fancy Harlequins to sneak this one! Harlequins to win is priced at 11/4.

Worcester Warriors vs Bristol Bears

What was expected to be a bottom of the table clash isn’t. Bristol and Worcester have pulled off a couple of impressive wins this season, and this match will be judged as a massively important game in a different context compared to usual. Worcester’s win at Welford Road couldn’t be matched last week in Exeter, but they did keep Chiefs to just 28 points at home. The Bears conceded 40 points last week and still won the match against Northampton. It’s BT Sports 4th match on TV this weekend.

Try scorers and Predictions

Worcester have the worst discipline in the league. This will need to be tightened up if they want to win this match. Ted Hill starts on the bench this weekend, but the Worcester forward scored a hat-trick at Tigers coming from the bench on his debut. If you fancy him picking up a try this week, he’s priced at 17/2. Josh Adams was in fine scoring form this time last year. The Welsh winger starts in this match against Bristol and if you fancy him scoring anytime, he’s priced at 6/5.  He has a history of scoring winning tries at the end of the game. This could be a tight game, and if you think Adams will score last, he’s priced at 8/1.

Bristol have been sending shockwaves down the Premiership. However, their home performances have been far better than their away performances. Harry Thacker has been playing out of his skin in his new team, and if you think he’ll bag a try for his efforts this week, you can get him priced at 9/2. Will Hurrel, another ex Leicester Tiger starts in the centres alongside Siale Piutau. What a feat for the young man! If you fancy him scoring, you can get him priced at 10/3.

It’s going to be a tight game, and probably forwards based. It’s a test for Bristol’s away form and they get a chance to take momentum into the European matches. But Worcester have been steadily improving, and we fancy them to pinch it by 1-5 points. This is priced at 11/2 with Bet365.