Conor McGregor v Donald Cerrone Odds

Conor McGregor v Donald Cerrone Odds

The Notorious is back.

Pencil January 18th into your diaries as the UFC’s biggest star is making another comeback. Headlining in Las Vegas, Conor McGregor is scheduled to fight Donald Cerrone at UFC 246. The anticipation is already building, as this will be the first time that the Irishman will be stepping into the Octagon since his fiery clash with Khabib Nurmagomedov in October 2018.

In contrast, this will be Cowboy’s sixth bout since that fight, with the upcoming headline being the 36-year-old’s eleventh fight since January 2017. So, who is being made the favourite for the big bout? We’ve looked into the McGregor v Cerrone odds and how the fight looks set to play out.

McGregor the outright favourite

Coming in at 4/9, McGregor is the rather big favourite in the betting odds, despite his prolonged inactivity inside the cage.

Due to his lack of activity, there isn’t too much analysis to go off for the Notorious, with his last fight being well over a year ago. At UFC 229, we saw the Irishman be outclassed by the superior Khabib, who found success in continuously taking McGregor down to the ground, as he does with virtually every opponent he faces.

It certainly wasn’t the same McGregor that we’ve seen down the years, as his defence on his feet was sloppy, with this factor being epitomised in round 2, where the Eagle landed a huge overhand right. He found small glimpses of encouragement in the third, but we wasn’t able to land enough combinations to cause significant damage to Khabib. Many will perhaps overlook this bout though, as the Lightweight champion is proving to be somewhat of an anomaly when it comes to analysing fights.

McGregor will no doubt look to keep this fight on his feet, as he will fancy his chances in outboxing Cerrone. His quick pace and head movement will be key in capitalising on the slower Cowboy, who recently struggled against a similar styled fighter in Justin Gaethje. On his highly-anticipated comeback, the bookmakers are heavily favouring McGregor to turn up on the night.

Cerrone odds to beat McGregor

Coming off the back of two losses, it won’t come as a surprise to many to see Cerrone be given an underdog status coming into the fight. Paddy Power currently have Cowboy at 13/8 outright to win the bout, meaning there is some big value in the American to prevail.

Although we have mentioned the 36-year-old’s successive defeats, it is important to recognise that these losses have come against Tony Ferguson and Gaethje, two of the top five rankings in the division. In both matchups, Cowboy struggled to live with the pace and tempo of both fighters, who found success in coming forward and dictating the fight.

His last win came in May against Al Iquinta via unanimous decision, with Cerrone dominating all five rounds comfortably. Success in this fight came courtesy from Cowboy’s range of tools in his striking and grappling, with the latter being the most interesting aspect in his upcoming fight with McGregor. The American is undoubtedly the stronger wrestler when comparing the two men, and this avenue potentially holds the most success for Cowboy in the fight.

At 13/8, we do expect some UFC fans to be backing the upset.

Method of victory odds

Also in Paddy Power’s market for the UFC event is method of victory. The obvious price that stands out is McGregor via TKO/KO at 8/11, as seven of his nine wins in the organisation have come courtesy of such. As mentioned, McGregor is the superior boxer in this upcoming bout and as we have seen from his past fights, not many can match his striking ability in the sport.

At welterweight, McGregor holds more power in his locker than ever before, as we saw through his two bouts with Nate Diaz. It takes a hell of a lot to drop the latter, but the Notorious managed this on numerous occasions over the two fights. Against Cerrone, he will fancy his chances at getting a stoppage through doing exactly that.

Although this is a positive for the Irishman at this weight class, we must also consider the disadvantage – his stamina. The lack of gas tank is a collectively accepted flaw in McGregor’s game, so much so that he himself has also recognised it. When going into the championship rounds, he does tend to fade away, as we saw in his first UFC loss to Diaz.

Cerrone’s gameplay will no doubt focus on getting the fight into the later rounds, with the hope that McGregor slows down. At 15/2 to win via TKO/KO, there is big value in seeing Cowybody getting the business done in emphatic fashion. He has been given a lower price to win by submission, with Paddy Power having this method of victory at 5/1. Cerrone has a strong ground game, so some punters may be swain towards such odds.

Fight details

The Irish will be taking over the streets of Vegas in January, with this bout being held at the T-Mobile Arena. Over his last seven fights, this will be McGregor’s sixth bout in the American city, as we all know that he’s a figure that thrives in bringing the entertainment.

Six other fights have been scheduled so far on the night, with the other standout name being Anthony Pettis, who is taking on Carlos Ferreira. More fights will inevitably be announced in due time, with various big names being rumoured. As you may be expecting, the show will be on a PPV platform.

McGregor v Cerrone odds

Conor McGregor to win = 4/9

Conor McGregor to win via TKO/KO = 8/11

Conor McGregor to win on points = 13/2

Donald Cerrone to win = 13/8

Donald Cerrone to win via submission = 5/1

Donald Cerrone to win via TKO/KO = 15/2