UFC 249: Khabib Nurmagomedov v Tony Ferguson Odds

UFC 249: Khabib Nurmagomedov v Tony Ferguson Odds

Is it finally happening?

It has been one of the most highly anticipated fights in recent UFC history; Khabib Nurmagomedov and Tony Ferguson are set to showdown, finally. The two have been scheduled to fight an astonishing five times, with the previous four falling through because of injuries, illness and weight cut troubles – twice Khabib pulled out, twice Ferguson pulled out.

Now, in April, the two at the top of the chain in the lightweight division are set to go at it once again. The Russian, 28-0, has barely looked in danger in his UFC career and rightfully so remains with the belt and at the top of the division.

Ferguson, on the other hand, is on a 12-fight win streak, but has been slightly less active, fighting twice since 2018, compared to Khabib’s three. Here, we take a look at what the odds are saying for this one at a fifth time lucky.

To win outright

Unsurprisingly, it is the champion who remains the favourite to defend his belt heading into April in New York at 4/9. As alluded to, Khabib has won all 28 of his fights in mixed martial arts, with 12 of them coming within the UFC.

It did take the 31-year-old nine wins in a row in the UFC to finally get a title shot, where he would beat the experienced Al Iaquinta and claim the famous gold. Now, Khabib has defended his title twice, demolishing Conor McGregor in 2018 and then schooling Dustin Poirier 11 months later.

However, as is consistently argued by UFC fans, if anyone is going to stop the rampaging Russian, it is Ferguson. Similar to Khabib, Ferguson had to wait some time for his shot at the title by stepping into the Octagon 13 times before he faced and beat Kevin Lee for the interim belt. This time around, you can get ‘El Cucuy’ at 13/8 to finally get his hands on the official title.

To win via KO/TKO

Ferguson has been hailed as one of the greatest lightweights in UFC history, and although he has only held the interim belt, the American holds the record for the most consecutive wins in the division with 12. Plus, since winning the interim belt, Ferguson has once again justified this claim by winning back-to-back Fight of the Night awards against Anthony Pettis and Donald Cerrone since beating Lee.

Now, if you believe the Californian wins this one via KO/TKO, you can get this at a very tempting 17/2. Khabib’s price, on the other hand, is equally as appealing at 6/1 to KO the challenger.

It is important to note that Ferguson is certainly the more prolific with his KO/TKO’s, registering 12 compared to the champion’s eight.

To win via decision

Many aspects of this fight are incredibly intriguing, mainly because we have been promised the battle four times previously. But when you consider both fighters have fought 28 times and are at such a similar position within their careers, it makes this an almighty clash in the history of the lightweight division.

With regards to a decision, it seems to be the most likely outcome, as per the oddsmakers. As for the champion, you can get him at 9/4 to win via decision and the challenger is priced at 9/2.

Another aspect to what makes the chances of a decision so interesting, is the incredible gas tank of the two. Ferguson is known for many things in and outside the octagon, but his pressure and ability to keep going round after round is nothing short of spectacular; he is arguably the best we have seen at this.

Likewise with Khabib, who has proved against the likes of Michael Johnson and Al Iaquinta to name a few, that he can and will keep going until the final bell.

Either way, who wouldn’t want a five round battle between these two?

To win via submission

Khabib is not just one of the best wrestlers the UFC has ever seen, but his abilities in this regard are levels above everyone on the roster. As his previous challenger Poirier put it: “I couldn’t get this guy off me,” he said after another Khabib demolition.

So, should you favour a submission for this one, it would make a lot of sense considering the Dagestan-born has won 10 of bouts via submission – the same amount he has via decision. You can find odds for the champions to win via submission at a very appealing 13/5.

On the other hand, Ferguson also has an impressive submission count with eight wins going his way in this regard. You can get the 35-year-old at 11/2 to overcome Khabib via submission.

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson odds

Tony Ferguson to win = 13/8

Tony Ferguson to win via KO/TKO = 17/2

Tony Ferguson to win via submission =  11/2

Khabib Nurmagomedov to win = 4/9

Khabib Nurmagomedov to win via KO/TKO = 6/1

Khabib Nurmagomedov to win via submission = 13/5