Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Primera DivisiónFull TimeFT

Mallorca

Atlético Madrid

Overview

(5') Rodrigo Riquelme

(71') Raíllo
(75') V. Muriqi

Nathan Best |

Mon 29 Apr 2024 01.22

LA LIGA BETTING TIPS

Atletico to win 2-0 @ 8/1

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Mallorca vs Atletico: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Mallorca hosts Atletico Madrid at the weekend with the away side hoping to push on for European qualification. Mallorca on the other hand are hoping to make sure they don’t get brought into the relegation battle.

Date: 04/05/2024

Location: Estadi de Son Moix

Kick-Off: 8:00 PM

Mallorca have enjoyed a rather moderately successful season. The hosts are probably going to avoid the relegation places, although they still need the results to mathematically ensure this is the case. The hosts narrowly missed out on the chance to play European Football, having lost the final of the Copa del Rey on penalties to Athletic Bilbao.

After 33 games played Mallorca are 16th place in La Liga with 32 points. The home side sit six points clear of 18th-placed Cadiz with five games to go, meaning a minimum of two wins could guarantee their safety from the drop.

As for the visitors, Atletico Madrid will be looking to strengthen their position in the top four towards the end of the season. The away side is six points clear of Athletic Bilbao who are in fifth place.

Atletico Madrid would ideally need a minimum of two wins from their remaining five fixtures to secure another season in the Champions League. In the previous league meeting between the two sides, Atletico Madrid were 1-0 winners thanks to Antoine Griezmann.

Team News

Mallorca Team News

Sergi Darder and Martin Valjent are suspension risks for Mallorca. There are no injury concerns as it stands.

Atletico Team News

Thomas Lemar, Memphis Depay and Vitolo are all injured for this game. Atletico have six suspension concerns including to the likes of Koke and Cesar Azpilicueta.

RECENT FORM

The recent history between the two sides suggests that the game between the two sides will be even. In the last 20 games between the two sides, there have been seven wins a-piece and six draws between the two sides. The fixture between the two teams at Mallorca of fell in favour of the home team. Mallorca were 1-0 winners thanks to a goal from Vedat Muriqi.

Atletico Madrid and Diego Simeone got a sense of measurable revenge against their opponents at the Wanda Metropolitano. Atletico were 3-1 winners in the reverse fixture last season, thanks to goals from Yannick Carrasco, Alvaro Morata, and Rodrigo de Paul.

In the last five games between the two teams, the results have fallen in Mallorca’s favour. The home side have won three out of the last five fixtures between the two sides in all competitions. Atletico Madrid have only won twice in that run. Interestingly, Mallorca are also unbeaten in their last two games at home against Atletico Madrid.

In three of the last five games between the two sides, there have been three clean sheets recorded by the winning side. Two from Mallorca and only one from Atletico Madrid.

The last time there has been a dismissal in this fixture was in 2019. During Atletico Madrid’s 2-0 win over Mallorca away from home, Alvaro Morata was dismissed for a second bookable offence.

Mallorca’s home form this season is what has separated them from potentially being involved in a relegation battle at this stage of the season. The home side has played 16 games at home this season, having won five, drawing seven and losing only four times throughout this campaign.

Mallorca has averaged 1.38 points per game this season and has won three out of their last five games at home. Their away form by comparison reads two losses and three draws in five games – averaging 0.59 points per game on their travels.

Mallorca have recorded a 31%-win rate over their opponents in comparison to only 6% away from home. The hosts have a tremendous defensive record at home, having only conceded on average 0.81 goals per game in comparison to 1.53 away from home.

Their defensive stats are improved by the fact that at home, they have kept a rather respectable 38% clean sheet average across 16 games. Although, Mallorca have failed to register a goal in 38% of their games at home this season.

In their most recent home game in the league, they were beaten by a single goal by soon-to-be champions Real Madrid. Mallorca’s last home win was against Granada where they won 1-0. In a tightly contested affair, Mallorca left it late to secure the victory thanks to a goal from Antonio Raillo.

As for Atletico Madrid, their away record this season isn’t particularly the strongest. Diego Simeone’s side have played 16 games away from home this season and have won five, drawn three and lost eight. Atletico averaged 1.13 points per game this season away from home soil.

Atletico’s home form by comparison is vastly superior. The visitors have played 17 games at home and have won 15, drawn once and lost the remaining one game. There is a 1.58-point differential between the average points they obtain at home for what they obtain away from home.

Atletico Madrid have only won once in their last five games away from home, whilst losing three and drawing once. Whilst it’s expected that a team would struggle away from home, they have a 31% win rate away in comparison to their 88% win rate at the Wanda Metropolitano.

The highlight of their struggles away from home has been their inconsistencies in front of goal. Atletico Madrid have failed to score in 44% of their away matches this season, in comparison to their failure to score in 6% of their home games. Defensively, they concede on average 1.31 goals per game.

In their last away game, they lost 2-1 to Deportivo Alaves. At the start of April, Atletico last recorded an away victory. A 2-1 win over Villarreal was secured thanks to goals from Axel Witsel and Saul Niguez.