Alexander Volkanovski v Max Holloway Odds

Alexander Volkanovski v Max Holloway Odds
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Alexander Volkanovski v Max Holloway Odds

UFC 251 is nearly upon us and the card is undoubtedly one of the greatest of all time.

There are three titles on the line, with each bout meaning so much for each of their respected divisions. Arguably though, the most important is the Featherweight rematch between Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway.

We've taken a look into the previous matchup and where we think the value lies in Paddy Power's betting markets.

Find all the odds for the fight below.

Tale of the tape

Max Holloway's Featherweight title reign came to an end last December, when Volkanovski's hand was raised at UFC 245.

The Australian arrived in Las Vegas as the betting underdog, but put in a well-polished display to win via unanimous decision. One judge even had the fight 50-45 in favour of 'The Great', and the result was not contested by any spectator.

Despite being five inches smaller, Volkanovski closed the distance efficiently well. His chopping down of Holloway's lead leg slowed the champ down, with the former winning most of the exchanges. Not much significant damage was caused on the Hawaiian, but the challenger was the more active and accurate, stealing near enough every round with his neat display.

Those leg kicks proved pivotal, with Holloway struggling to put together any combinations. The 28-year-old is identified in being one of the best strikers in the organisation, but his mobility was hampered early on.

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Outright odds

On the back of his dominant display, Volkanovski opens up as the outright favourite at 1/2 with Paddy Power. It was the first time that the Australian went five rounds in his UFC career, and he looks well equipped to do so again, if needed.

The Great showed no gaps or weaknesses in the initial matchup, and his tag as the favourite is no doubt expected.

Subsequently, Holloway comes in at 6/4. Such a price can be considered generous though, as we are still talking about a fighter that has lost just twice in his last sixteen fights. This is 'Blessed's' second only rematch, after dethroning legend Jose Aldo back-to-back in 2017.

Is he capable of making the adjustments for this 'awkward' matchup? It's a strong test in his pursuit in being the Featherweight GOAT.

Method of victory odds

Fancy an exact repeat of the first fight? Volkanovski to win on points at EVENS is the shortest price in Paddy Power's method of victory market.

This is how five of the champ's eight victories in the UFC have come, not to mention that Holloway has only been stopped once in the organisation - his 2012 submission defeat to Dustin Poirier. The fight going the distance looks to be a rather safe shout at 4/9, with both fighters liking to adopt a pragmatic approach to their bouts.

Both men opt to ware down their opponents and given their ridiculous gas tanks, going five rounds looks to be the likely route on July 12.

For those fancying a finish on the night, Volkanovski just edges his opposition's chances at 5/1 to win via TKO/KO. The former 240 pounder has heavy hands and no doubt possesses sufficient power to finish anyone in the division.

Holloway's finishes don't tend to come from a singular punch, but through his overwhelming pressure. His title defence against Brian Ortega was the perfect example of such, in what was a brutal display of Blessed's striking ability. At 6/1, we think many of his fans will fancy this price in him getting the job done, in the most emphatic way possible.

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Oddschanger's Pick

For the last UFC event, we picked out Poirier's price of 4/1 to win via decision.

We're going for 2/2 at UFC 251 and our pick comes in the same market.

At 11/4, we fancy Holloway's price to regain his title on points. The main barrier that the challenger has to overcome is those vicious leg kicks, but should they be checked, we expect him to get the better of Volkanovski in the striking department.

Expect a lot more movement from Blessed around the cage, who will still likely bide his openings, but want to apply more pressure on The Great. We think 11/4 is a nice price for a vengeance seeking Holloway.

Max Holloway to win via decision - 11/4

paddy_power betting tip

MAX HOLLOWAY TO WIN VIA DECISION @ 11/4

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