Betting Stats and Selections - Saturday 28th November

betting stats - 28/11
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Betting Stats and Selections - Saturday 28th November

Are you are a stats man?

If so, you will likely be a fan of the FA Betting Hub app.

The free app contains a 'Smart Acca' feature, which allows you to list the best football games for each day, for specific betting markets. From season stats to the last five games, you can see which fixtures have the best % chance for selections like both teams to score, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals and much more!

Ahead of this Saturday, we've looked into some season stats for certain fixtures, and their betting odds to come in.

Best games for both teams to score

Gloucester City v Farsley Celtic is the top percentage game for BTTS on Saturday, with the app calculating an 80% chance of this market landing.

The former have been the standout-team in the National League N/S this season, sitting top of the table and scoring a whopping 26 goals in just 10 games. They've conceded the second most in the top half but are yet to keep a clean-sheet at home this season. As a single, 4/6 for this market looks very generous.

Over to Italy and Pisa v Cittadella in the Serie B pops up at a very high 78.6%. Remarkably, BTTS has landed in all seven of Pisa's league games this season - only Pescara have conceded more goals. This bodes well with Cittadella's attacking record - only four clubs have scored more in the league. Betfair are offering the best market price for BTTS here at 8/11.

Third on the list is Union Berlin v Frankfurt at 77.8%. The former have been in terrific form, with only Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund registering more league goals this season - not bad company at all. Frankfurt can always be a bogey opposition though, and have scored in every single game bar one this season (only exception v Bayern).

The Bundesliga fixture is the shortest price of the three games at 8/15.

You can add all three games as a BTTS treble directly to your betslip below.

BTTS Treble - 28/11/20

betfair betting tip

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN GLOUCESTER CITY V FARSLEY CELTIC, PISA V CITTADELLA & UNION BERLIN V FRANKFURT @ 3/1

Best games for over 2.5 goals

Hoping for goals, goals, goals this weekend? They can usually be found in the Eerste Divisie, and so can Saturday's best % chance for over 2.5 goals. Dordecht v Jong Ajax comes out at 76.9%, with odds of 1/3.

Jong Ajax have scored 26 goals and conceded 26 this season, in just 13 games. It's usually end to end in their games, with BTTS also landing their last seven. For Dordecht, their fixtures do have goals, but usually from their own net. They have conceded a huge 37 league goals this season and 12 in their last 3 games.

Cercle Brugge v Genk is second on the list at 73.1%, with the over 2.5 goal market landing in the latter's last 5 games. For Brugge, it has landed 7 times in their last 8 games, making the game's 4/7 odds rather generous.

Back to Holland now and Emmen v Ajax comes in at 72.7%. It won't come as a surprise to hear that Ajax sit top of the table - they have won 8 of their opening nine games, scoring 37. Over 2.5 goals has landed in their last seven games, justifying the 1/3 odds to see it again on Saturday.

Another game that comes in at 72.7% is Stuttgart v Bayern Munich. No surprise to see the latter make this list, they have averaged scoring over 4 goals per game in the league this season. Clean sheets have not been common either, with their 12 conceded being the most of the top six.

Stuttgart could help out contributing to the goals - they themselves have registered 16 in 8 games, the fourth most in the division. Such context justifies the short odds of 2/7.

Over 2.5 Goal Acca - 28/11/20

betfair betting tip

OVER 2.5 GOALS IN DORDECHT V JONG AJAX, CERCLE BRUGGE V GENK, EMMEN V AJAX & @ 3/1

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Both Teams to score in both halves

The BTTS market is a popular one with punters, but most bookmakers also offer BTTS in both halves. This market holds significantly larger odds, but does resemble the small chance it has in landing.

Two games on Saturday are calculated above 20% for this market to land: Weymouth v Chesterfield and Everton v Leeds.

The first comes in the National League - odds of 10/1 as a single, with a % chance of 23.5. Standard BTTS has landed in Weymouth's last four, and Chesterfield's last 3. For this selection to land, both teams will need to commit forward, and the two clubs desperately need a win. Sat 20th and 21st in the table, this could be a scrappy game.

BTTS in both halves has landed in Chesterfield's last two games.

Everton v Leeds comes in at 22.7%, with slightly lower odds of 9/1. The Toffees looked strong against Fulham following the return of Richarlison, and this market has landed in 2 of their last 3 league games - it could have been their last 3 games, should they had scored in the second half against Manchester United.

Leeds have been hit and miss recently - they always have something going forward, but can look ropey at the back. The four conceded to Crystal Palace came as a bit of a shock, before their statement at home to Arsenal. It's been seven games since this market landed in the Whites' matchups.

Both Teams To Score In Both Halves Double - 28/11/20

skybet betting tip

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN BOTH HALVES OF WEYMOUTH V CHESTERFIELD AND EVERTON V LEEDS @ 109/1

Player to have 2+ Shots on target

Alongside club stats, the FA Betting Hub app also offers stats and selections for players.

As opposed to an anytime goalscorer pick, shots on target bets have become quite popular amongst fellow bettors in recent years, and the app includes information on those that like a go at goal.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has registered 2+ SOT 8 times out of 12 this season, making his odds of 5/6 fairly high against Leeds. The latter have proven suspect to conceding chances, and DCL will be looking to feed off Richarlison and James Rodriguez this weekend.

Andre Silva is a name that is over evens to have 2+ shots on target on Saturday, with Frankfurt travelling to Union Berlin. We've already touched on this fixture, and it looks to be one with goals. Silva has had 2+ SOT 6 times in 9 games this season, scoring six goals during this time too. At 8/5, this certainly looks to be the standout selection in this market.

Adam Armstrong is currently on fire in the Championship, scoring 12 goals in 12 games. Blackburn may be a tad unpredictable, but when they get going, they can be rampant. In their last 3 wins, they've scored ten goals, with the forward scoring on each. The Rovers will fancy themselves against Barnsley at home, and Armstrong will enter full of confidence.

He is 1/2 for two shots on target.

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