Betting Stats and Selections - Saturday 5th December

Bruno Fernandes Manchester United
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Betting Stats and Selections - Saturday 5th December

Last week we highlighted 6 betting selections purely based on the stats, and landed 4 winners.

Both of our goal trebles came in at 3/1, with 2 of our shots on target picks winning as well.

The only two losers were the BTTS in both halves double (in which one single leg landed at 10/1) and Dominic Calvert Lewin to have 2+ SOT v Leeds - he had three shots in the game, with only one being on target.

All in all, it was a very strong Saturday.

On the back of such success, we've used the FA Betting Hub app to pick out some similar looking betting selections. Take a read below or install the app FOR FREE and have a gander yourself!

Best games for both teams to score

Based on the season stats, the best chance on paper for BTTS on Saturday is York v Chester at 80% in he National League North, which as a single comes out to 8/13 - a nice price to bolster an acca/treble.

The market has landed four times in Chester's last five games and they have scored in every league fixture this season. They are the 4th highest scoring side in the division, but have also conceded 13 times in just 9 games. York have scored 7 in their last three, and have started to find some form.

It's no surprise to see Koln make the list this weekend - BTTS has landed in all but one of their nine Bundesliga games this season. They are extremely leaky at the back (15 conceded) but do possess some quality up-top. They like to operate with either two strikers or two attacking midfielders, committing men forward in the final third. They most recently beat Borussia Dortmund away.

Up next for Koln are Wolfsburg, a side that have scored 9 in their last 4. Although the latter are a little sturdier at the back, BTTS has landed 6 times from their last 7 games. The combined % for this tie comes out at 75%, and a rather generous single price of 4/6 too.

Lastly to make up the treble is the Belgian clash between OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge at 1/2, with a percentage chance of 74.1%. If you're after goals, the former are your team. Leuven bring the entertainment, with over 2.5 goals landing in their last five games, with over 3.5 goals occurring four times.

Remarkably, they have scored 23 and conceded 24 league goals this season, in 13 fixtures. It must be something about Belgian football, as Cercle Brugge are equally as frantic - they've scored 21 and conceded 25 in their 14 league games.

BTTS Treble - 05/12/20

betfair betting tip

BTTS IN EACH OF YORK V CHESTER, KOLN V WOLFSBURG & OH LEUVEN V CERCLE BRUGGE @ 3/1

Best games for over 2.5 goals

From the above, York v Chester are also the top % game for over 2.5 goals on Saturday.

As mentioned, their games recently have been flooded with goals, most notably coming from Chester's perspective. Over 2.5 goals has landed 4 times in their last 5 games, with it also coming in York's last three. At a combined 80%, this match-up as a single is 8/11.

The first Premier League fixture to make either list now, in the shape of West Ham v Manchester United. This prominently stems from the latter, with the market landing 5 times in their last six. The Red Devils' latest league game was the thrilling 3-2 win over Southampton, where their attacking prowess was highlighted, but also their sloppiness at the back.

Sitting in fifth place, the Hammers have a right to be confident though, having won their last three. They've scored in their last 11 games too, and there isn't much evidence from Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side to be backing against them doing so again. Over 2.5 goals in the 5:30pm KO is 3/4, with the game holding a calculated 75.9% chance.

You may have never heard of Eintracht Braunschweig, but they are certainly a side to watch in this market - over 2.5 goals has landed in their last six games. This primarily comes from their poor defensive record (21 conceded in 9 league games this season), but they also face another team struggling in St Pauli on Saturday.

Despite their struggles, Pauli can often produce goals. They have scored 2+ in four of their last seven, with this game producing a combined statistic of 75% in the market. As single, the price is 8/11.

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Over 2.5 Goal Treble - 05/12/20

betfair betting tip

OVER 2.5 GOALS IN EACH OF YORK V CHESTER, WEST HAM V MANCHESTER UNITED & EINTRACHT BRAUNSCHWEIG V ST PAULI @ 5/1

Both teams to score in both halves

The BTTS in both halves markets always hold large prices, given the amount of goals you are asking for in the selection.

Last week, one of our highlights games (Weymouth v Chesterfield) landed in this market @ 10/1, with Everton v Leeds letting it down as a double.

Looking ahead to this Saturday, we've picked out the top two fixtures again.

The top % chance is Inter Milan v Bologna, with this market landing once in each of their last five games. The FA Betting Hub app has calculated a 25% combined chance, with the single coming out at 8/1. From Inter's perspective, they are usually good value to find the back of the net. No Serie A team has scored more goals this season, and Antonio Conte's men have scored 2+ four times, in their last 5 league games.

They haven't been as effective in shutting their oppositions out though, conceding 13 goals and keeping just 2 clean sheets. Can Bologna do their part? It's a big ask, but they have scored in either half in two of their last four league games.

Eintracht Braunschweig v Pauli is the second highest on the app's list, coming in at 20%. We've already touched on this fixture in the over 2.5 goals section, as both these teams are prone to conceding. As always in this market, you do need the attacking lines to commit, and this is a must win game for both. Coming in as a single, this Bundesliga II fixture is also 8/1.

BTTS in both halves double - 05/12/20

skybet betting tip

BTTS IN BOTH HALVES IN INTER MILAN V BOLOGNA & EINTRACHT BRAUNSCHWEIG V ST PAULI @ 80/1

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