FA Cup Betting Stats and Tips - January 2021

FA Cup Betting Stats and Tips - January 2021

FA Cup Betting Stats and Tips - January 2021

The FA Cup is back this weekend, with there being plenty of games and televised fixtures coming our way.

Ahead of the action, we've looked into the betting stats and the calculated percentages for certain markets to land. This have been done via the FREE FA Betting Hub app, which can be downloaded on IOS or Android below.

There are plenty of statistics to browse through inside the app, so if you're a stats man, it will most likely be one for you. Take a read below of this weekend's top % chances.

FA Betting Hub App
The Footy Accumulators Betting Hub app is the ultimate football betting companion app. It is your one-stop-shop and ONLY place for the latest and best exclusive boosts & offers from the premium operators in the UK.
Download now

Best games for both teams to score

Based on season stats, three FA Cup fixtures this weekend have a calculated chance of over 60% in seeing both teams to score.

Crawley v Leeds United is the top ranked game at 63%, and this market has landed nine times in the former's last ten games. The League Two side are the second top goalscorers in their division this season, scoring 34 goals in 22 games - they have scored in their last ten fixtures across all competitions.

Finding the back of the net doesn't tend to be an issue for John Yems' men, it's keeping them out of their own net that is. Their 28 conceded in the league is the second worst record for a top-half side and from just their two FA Cup games this season, they have shipped six goals. Such reading will encourage Leeds, who have scored 16 in their last eight. During these set of fixtures, they have only failed to score once. At evens, there seems to be big value in this selection landing.

Blackburn have been a tad hit and miss of late, but they remain dangerous in-front of goal. They have only drawn a blank twice from their last thirteen, scoring 2+ goals seven times. The Rovers will see their fixture against Doncaster as a potentially 'slippery' one though, with the League One club arriving in terrific form.

They have won 6 from their last 8, but five of these victories have come with BTTS. The market has landed ten times from their last twelve fixtures, certainly therefore justifying their inclusion on this list. At 3/4, there is yet again some value in seeing some goals in this FA Cup fixture.

The above fixture and also Newport v Brighton share a calculated chance of 61.2%, with the latter game sharing similar priced odds of 10/11. Both teams to score has landed in Newport's last four games - they certainly love a goal, having scored in their last nineteen games. Although the League Two club are facing PL opposition, this stat will certainly encourage them to push on.

Brighton have kept just one clean sheet from their last nine, conceding seven in their last four games. Going forward though, they certainly have the quality to punish a lower league side - they most recently put three past Wolves and in their EFL cup fixtures this season, scored four against Portsmouth and twice away to Preston.

FA Cup BTTS Treble

betfair betting tip

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN CRAWLEY V LEEDS, BLACKBURN V DONCASTER & NEWPORT V BRIGHTON @ 5/1

Best games for over 2.5 goals

Hoping for a goal-fest this weekend? The over 2.5 goal market is a popular choice with punters, so we've listed the top three FA Cup percentages below, based on each club's last five games.

Chelsea v Morecambe tops the charts at 80%, in a game where Frank Lampard will be keen for his side to flex their muscles and avoid any more slip-ups. The demolished Championship side Barnsley 6-0 back in September at home, and given the Blues' squad depth, they will be able to field a strong XI on Sunday.

Unsurprisingly, they are huge 1/16 favourites to beat League Two club Morecambe, but the latter will not go down without a fight. They have won four on the bounce and scored in 17 consecutive games. Will they be willing to give it a go at the Bridge? It could open up the game, which could help out in the goals market. Over 2.5 goals is best priced at 1/3.

The other two games to compromise the treble offer bigger value - Luton v Reading and Brentford v Middlesbrough both come out with a 70% chance in seeing over 2.5 goals, with the two sets of fixtures being over evens to see this market land.

This could be seen as rather generous, as over 2.5 goals has come through in four of Reading's, Brentford's and Middlesbrough's last five games. It's landed three times during this time for Luton, including their Boxing Day match against the Royals themselves. It was 2-1 that day, and we would take such a scoreline again this weekend.

Over 2.5 Goal Fa Cup Treble

betfair betting tip

OVER 2.5 GOALS IN CHELSEA V MORECAMBE, LUTON V READING & BRENTFORD V MIDDLESBROUGH @ 6/1

Teams with value

The 'magic of the cup' is a notorious saying, and as history has shown us, when the whistle goes in the competition, nothing is guaranteed. Ahead of the weekend's set of fixtures, we've picked out some teams that look to hold some value.

Exeter have been strong at home this season, winning six of their last nine in League Two. With forty goals scored in the division, they are the league's top scorers this season, and will head into Saturday's game against Sheffield Wednesday full of optimism. Although the Owls' form has improved following the departure of Tony Pulis, their change in fortunes have predominantly come at home.

On the road, they are winless in eight, losing six. Such a poor record has seen them granted odds of 11/10 to win - a fairly large price given the difference in league standings. Exeter are 2/1, making them the long-shot choice, but the stats are there to justify this selection.

Another 2/1 selection that has caught our eye are Portsmouth, who were absolutely flying prior to their postponement of games. They have won 4 of their last five games, with their most recent being a solid 2-0 victory over 2nd place Hull City. Their upcoming opponents in Bristol City have lost five of their last seven, failing to score in four of these defeats. The wheels have slowly started to come off for Dean Holden's side, and the momentum on paper looks to lie with the away side on Sunday.

Although this wouldn't be regarded as an 'upset' of any kind, Leicester City's odds are hard to ignore this weekend. The Foxes have the best away record in the Premier League this season, and yet themselves at 4/5 to beat Stoke (A) on Saturday. The latter have won just one of their last eight, and were comfortably dispatched from another Premier League side in Tottenham, just a couple weeks back.

With no clean sheet in their last four either, there is little reason to justify a Stoke result this weekend, with Leicester unbeaten in their own last four. At 4/5, there looks to be big value in Brendan Rodgers side, as surely the manager will be keen to prioritise a piece of silverware this season.

Fa Cup Win Treble

skybet betting tip

TOTTENHAM, EXETER AND BRISTOL CITY TO ALL WIN @ 15/1

100% Matched Free Bet up to £10!
New UK customers only. £10 Min Deposit. 100% matched free bet on your first deposit of £10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bets. Debit Card & Paypal deposits only. This offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. Full Terms apply.
Claim Bonus
d

Free Bets & Offers


🔴 Bet £5 & Get £20 FREE BETS! 🔴
NEW CUSTOMER OFFERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. ODDS OF 1/1 OR GREATER. 2 X £10 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS. FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG
Claim Bonus
⚡️Get up to £100 in Bet Credits⚡️
New Customers only. Up to £100* in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5* or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.
Claim Bonus
⚡️ Bet £10 & get 4x £10 FREE BETS! ⚡️
New customers who register via Mobile only, min £10 / €10 stake, win only, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 4 x £10 / €10 (30 day expiry), free bet/payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. 18+.
Claim Bonus
🏆 BET £20 & GET YOUR STAKE BACK AS CASH IF YOU LOSE! 🏆
New customers only. Minimum odds 1/5 (1.2). If you place a multiple at least one selection must meet the min odds requirement. Max £20 refund. Only deposits made using Cards or Applepay qualify. Qualifying bet must be placed and settled within 30 days of account opening. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
Bet £30 on Horse Racing & get a £30 FREE BET to use on any sport if your first bet loses! 🏇
The offer is available to new players who made their first deposit and made their first bet. The qualifying bet cannot be less than £30 and it must be placed on any event offered by Tonybet Horse Racing. Only a single bet can be chosen. Qualifying bets must be placed on a selection with the odds not lower than 1.5 or 1/2. The maximum amount of free bet is £30 for one customer and it will be credited to a player’s account only if the selection loses the match. 18+. T&C's apply.
Claim Bonus
😍 Bet £20 & get £20 in FREE BETS! 😍
T&Cs: New users only. Min deposit £20. Place qualifying bets of £20 to £100 in first 7 days after deposit to unlock free bets. Free bet rewarded as 4 free bets that total first deposit amount. Min odds 1/1, 3+ legs & expire in 7 days. Winnings credited in cash. Full T&Cs apply. 18+.
Claim Bonus
🏆 £20 Risk Free First Bet - Money Back in CASH 🏆
New customers only, limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your first bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/€20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
⚡️ Bet £10 Get £10 with EnergyBet! ⚡️
18+. UK Only. Available for new players who have registered at EnergyBet after 31.08.2020 and valid only for their first qualifying Sportsbook bet. Cash stakes only. Min £10 deposit required. Min. total odds of 3/4. Min. odds for each selection 1/4. Bonus amount £10. Bonus funds to be wagered 1x on odds of 4/5 or higher. Virtual Sports Bets do not qualify. Cashed out bets do not qualify. Other T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware. Please bet responsibly.
Claim Bonus
🌟 Bet £5 & Get £30 in Bonuses 🌟
18+ New Customers only. Deposit, opt in and place a £5 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 2x £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days.  Plus a £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of £250. PayPal and Card Payments only. Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Claim Bonus
100% Matched Free Bet up to £10! ⚡️
New UK customers only. £10 Min Deposit. 100% matched free bet on your first deposit of £10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bets. Debit Card & Paypal deposits only. This offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. Full Terms apply.
Claim Bonus
When The Fun Stops. Stop.
Oddschanger

Facilitating the UK's largest online betting community, we provide our own tips on popular betting markets as well as offering the latest bets and offers.

Gamble Aware aims to promote responsibility in gambling. They provide information to help you make informed decisions about your gambling.

18+
Be Gamble Aware - Helpline: 0808 8020 133
Disclaimer

Oddschanger is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2021 Copyright Oddschanger. All Rights reserved. v2.4.2 (1)