Fernandes or Dias?: PFA Player of the Year Odds & Prediction

Bruno Fernandes Manchester United
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Ruben Dias PFA Player of the Year Odds

Ruben Dias has been the signing of the season across the world of football, end of story. In fact, the question should be, who has been the second-best signing in the world, because Dias has been that monumental, that Manchester City are on course for records they couldn't handle when even Vincent Kompany was at the club.

When Kompany did depart, just like when Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic left Manchester United, it looked a near-impossible task to replace the Belgian at the Etihad. But, whilst it's taken United almost a decade to do so, it took City just a year, and Dias has now become the most important centre-back in world football and the most impactful player in the Premier League.

He's been just as important as the great Virgil van Dijk to Liverpool, because whilst the Dutchman broke records and helped fire the Reds to a Champions League and Premier League across two seasons, Dias is doing the same but within the same campaign. In fact, you could even argue he's been just as good if not better than van Dijk, given how we're once again forgetting the impact of Kevin De Bruyne this season because of how good Dias has been, just like the records Mohamed Salah were getting overlooked because of van Dijk's impact.

At the start of the season, Dias was a huge outsider for the PFA Player of the Year odds and his PFA Player of the Year odds only began to slash towards the end of 2020 and the start of 2021. In fact, after being as high as 20/1 when City finally began to find some form, he was soon slashed to 16/1 and then 9/1 when Pep Guardiola's men started to move towards the title when United crashed.

Dias has since moved closer and closer to Fernandes' favourite for the PFA Player of the Year odds spot, and he now sits at just 4/5 to win the trophy and become only the third defender to win the award in the Premier League era after van Dijk and John Terry - not bad company, to be honest.

In truth, however, you can very easily pip Fernandes ahead of Dias, if you believe that to be true. Their respective forms and the overall impact on their clubs has been equal, given how United have moved from being a Europa League club to second-best in the league, whilst City have only gone from second to first.

PFA Player of the Year Odds

skybet betting tip

RUBEN DIAS PFA PLAYER OF THE YEAR ODDS @ 4/5

Bruno Fernandes PFA Player of the Year Odds

Whilst the likes of Virgil van Dijk, Mohamed Salah and Kevin De Bruyne will all argue they are better signings than Bruno Fernandes in terms of the trophies they've brought in, there can be absolutely no disputing the overall impact of the Portuguese as one of the league's best-ever signings. At the very least, regardless of how you see Fernandes, he is the greatest signing made by United in the post-Sir Alex Ferguson era, period.

After his goal against Liverpool, the January 2020 addition has made it to 28 goals in all competitions (18 in the Premier League), meaning he has overtaken Frank Lampard's goalscoring record set in 2009/10 from a Premier League midfielder with a few games left to spare - he needs four more to equal Lampard's league record of 22. What makes it even more impressive for Fernandes is, despite popular belief, most have come from open play, with the Portuguese netting only nine penalties, compared to Lampard's 10 that year.

United's hero has also managed to bag himself 17 assists in all competitions, which means only Harry Kane's 47 goal contributions from 46 games beats Fernandes' 45 from his 56 outings across the top flight of English football.

It is pretty simple with analysing his impact over the last 16 months at Old Trafford: without him, they'd be nowhere near second. This has been echoed by an over-reliance at times on a 34-year-old Edinson Cavani and a 19-year-old Mason Greenwood, whilst Marcus Rashford is the only United player that has come close to Fernandes' record this season with his 21 goals and 15 assists in all competitions.

For much of the season, United's number 18 was the favourite for the PFA Player of the Year and his PFA Player of the Year odds dropped as low as under evens for a short time before Ruben Dias began to claw his way back into contention.

In truth, if it wasn't for Dias' insane contributions to at the back for City, Fernandes would have all but pocketed the award now. However, with his compatriot set to win the league itself, Dias might just pip him to the trophy, and understandably so.

PFA Player of the Year Odds

skybet betting tip

FERNANDES PFA PLAYER OF THE YEAR ODDS @ 13/8

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