Picking the Top Scorer Odds: Croatia, Holland, Italy, Denmark, Spain

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Croatia

Since Mario Mandzukic retired from international football following their heroic run in Russia, manager Zlatko Dalic has not found a true replacement for the man who bagged the winner in the semi-final versus England. Many fancy Dinamo Zagreb striker Bruno Petkovic to get the nod while prolific Hoffenheim forward Andrej Kramaric may be utilised better from the bench, while Serie A wingers Ivan Perisic and Ante Rebic both have a keen eye for a goal.
At 4/1, Kramaric is the favourite to be Croatia’s top scorer, and it is not hard to see why following a fifth consecutive season in which he has scored double-figures for goals in the Bundesliga.

This season was his most successful yet, notching 20 goals in just 28 appearances, taking his Bundesliga tally to 82 in just 160 matches, many of which have been substitute appearances too. At the start of the season, Kramaric scored 13 goals in just six games for his club, proving he is capable of rapid bursts of form, and the Croats will hope for some of that this summer from him.

Ivan Perisic, priced at 8/1, got three goals at the last World Cup, including goals in the semi-final and the final, making him Croatia’s joint-top scorer with Mandzukic, while at 9/1, AC Milan’s Rebic was another man who got himself on the scoresheet three years ago, and he also enjoyed a good finale to the Serie A season, scoring a wonder goal away to Juventus and a hat-trick against Torino.

Croatia Top Scorer Odds

skybet betting tip

ANDREJ KRAMARIC @ 4/1

Italy

The favourite for Italy is, of course, Lazio’s Ciro Immobile, following on from a record-equalling 36 Serie A goals in 2019/20, and he got himself another 20 this season, reaching the landmark of 150 goals in the Italian top flight in the process. However, for his country, he has never looked the same player, and a record of 12 goals in 45 caps suggests odds of 7/4 to be Italy’s top scorer do not offer the best value.

There is also Andrea Belotti, and he will undoubtedly get plenty of game time over the course of the tournament despite naturally being second-choice. Belotti is more suited to playing in Italy’s setup as a sole striker as he does with club side Torino while Immobile plays in a two-man attack at Lazio, meaning Mancini often fancies Belotti in certain games - at 5/1, his goals per game ratio for Italy is better than Immobile’s too, with 11 goals in 32 caps.

A recurring theme here though will be the great value on offer to choose attacking wingers in this bet, and arguably Italy’s two dangermen are their two wingers, Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Chiesa. Insigne has been the talisman for Italy ever since Roberto Mancini brought him into the fold properly when he was appointed, and he is a master of the Arjen Robben-esque cut inside curling strike.

We are, however, picking Immobile for this one, as it doesn't seem anyone else comes close to him.

Italy Top Scorer Odds

skybet betting tip

CIRO IMMOBILE @ 7/4

Spain

When it comes to the European Champions of 2008 and 2012, free-flowing attacking football does not seem as likely, despite their 6-0 drubbing of Germany last year. Sergio Ramos would have been the top-scoring player in the squad had he been picked, with none of Spain’s squad yet to reach 20 goals for their country.

With the eight midfielders in the squad having scored a combined seven goals between them, the pressure does fall solely on their attacking players to get the goals, and the four in contention to start all have decent records so far for Spain. Being the only out-and-out number nine in the squad, Alvaro Morata is favourite at 2/1 and with a record of just over a goal every two games for his country, he certainly enjoys playing for La Roja over many of his previous club sides.

The three relative newcomers to the Spain setup though are all good shouts to get amongst the goals. Ferran Torres, Gerard Moreno (both 4/1) and Mikel Oyarzabal (7/1) are all barely into double-figures for caps, but they have all enjoyed good success in front of goal for the national side. Torres, who got a hat-trick in that win over Germany, has six in 10 caps, Moreno has five in 10 and Oyarzabal has four from 13 while also scoring 10+ league goals for Real Sociedad over the past four seasons.

Moreno has also enjoyed a blistering season at Villarreal, scoring 30 goals in all competitions and helping fire them to Europa League glory. However, given Morata's experience with the national side, he'll likely get ahead of the Villarreal man.

Spain Top Scorer Odds

skybet betting tip

ALVARO MORATA @ 2/1

Denmark

Denmark are many people’s tip to be a dark horse at this summer’s tournament, and the 1992 winners have enough quality in their side to cause a surprise or two.

Christian Eriksen's 36 international goals make him the top scorer in the squad, and his expertise at free-kicks and penalties means he is the favourite at 7/2.

At 5/1 is international newcomer Jonas Wind who potentially may take the starting spot upfront ahead of Kasper Dolberg. Despite making just six international appearances, the Copenhagen striker already has a competitive goal against Belgium and scored an important goal in a qualifying win over Israel in March.

Yussuf Poulsen (9/1) and Martin Braithwaite (7/1) make up the striker roles for Denmark and they are two of the highest-priced forwards in this market across all the strikers, largely to do with the fact Poulsen has only eight goals in 54 games and Braithwaite just nine in 50.

With this said, we can't look past Eriksen here.

skybet betting tip

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN @ 7/2

the Netherlands

For the Dutch side, candidates for top scorer seem very thin, with much of their side either very inexperienced at this level or at the opposite end of their career and the standout player in the side is Lyon’s Memphis Depay. His two goals in a friendly against Scotland prior to the summer showdown showcased how he is capable of scoring all kinds of goals, with a brilliant volley and a precise free kick.

This season he scored 20 league goals for the first time since 2015 with PSV Eindhoven, which prompted his move to Manchester United, and another big move may be coming for Depay with Barcelona expected to sign him this summer.

Frank de Boer is also a fan of Sevilla’s Luuk de Jong, a traditional target man who he usually always turns to in times of need. He scored in all three World Cup qualifiers in March, and even though he may not start in the big matches, if Holland are behind, expect the 6 foot 2 striker to make an appearance. At 9/2, however, he brings very little club form into the championships, having scored just 1- league goals in 69 appearances for Sevilla since he made the move from the Eredivisie in 2019, after five prolific years with PSV.

Ultimately, it's near impossible to look past Depay here, as he truly is the only elite scorer in the squad.

Netherlands Top Scorer Odds

skybet betting tip

MEMPHIS DEPAY @ 6/4

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