The Most Statistically-Backed Over 2.5 Goals Tips - 11/12/21

Liam Bewsher

Dortmund Featured

Bayern Munich vs Mainz: Over 2.5 Goals - 1/3


The first game on this list comes from the Allianz Arena as Bayern Munich host Mainz looking to maintain top spot in the Bundesliga.

Julian Nagelsmann’s men come into this match having seen the over 2.5 goals market land in four of their last five games across all competitions, having soundly beaten Barcelona 3-0 in midweek as Thomas Muller, Leroy Sane and Jamal Musiala all got on the scoresheet. Prior to this win, Bayern defeated Dortmund 3-2, Armenia Bielefeld 1-0 and Dynamo Kyiv, having lost 2-1 to Augsburg on 19th November.

On the other hand, the over 2.5 goals market has landed in three of Mainz’s last five games, following a 2-1 win over Bielefeld, as well as a 2-1 loss to Stuttgart and 3-0 hammering of Wolfsburg.

The last five meetings between Bayern and Mainz have seen over 2.5 goals scored, although last time out in April, Mainz were shock 2-1 winners, having been beaten 5-2, 3-1 and 6-1 and 6-0 in their previous four matches against Saturday’s opponents.

Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

BAYERN MUNICH VS MAINZ: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 1/3

Liverpool vs Aston Villa: Over 2.5 Goals - 2/5

On Saturday, Former Liverpool captain Steven Gerrard will make a return to Anfield as manager of Aston Villa and has stated that he wants to see his current club fight for the win against Jurgen Klopp’s men.

Three of Liverpool’s last four matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them, having defeated AC Milan 2-1 after earning a narrow 1-0 victory against Wolves via a last gasp Divock Origi goal, Jurgen Klopp’s side had blasted in four goals three times in a row in the Premier League, having thumped Everton 4-1 where Jordan Henderson, Mohamed Salah (2) and Diogo Jota all got on the scoresheet, as well as beating Southampton and Arsenal 4-0 in back to back matches.

On the other hand, the Villains have started life well under Gerrard, winning three of the four matches which the former Rangers manager has taken charge of, beating Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0, Crystal Palace 2-1 and Leicester City 2-1, with their only defeat being at home to Manchester City 2-1, despite a strong showing in the second half of that match, meaning that the over 2.5 goals market has landed three times.

Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

LIVERPOOL VS ASTON VILLA: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2/5

Bochum vs Borussia Dortmund: Over 2.5 Goals - 19/40

On Saturday, 10th place Bochum take on second in the table Borussia Dortmund at Ruhrstadion in the Bundesliga.

Bochum’s have scored 15 and let in 22 in 14 Bundesliga matches this season, whilst Dortmund have been living up to their reputation of having a good attack and relatively poor defence, as the Signal Iduna Park club have scored 35 and conceded 22 in the same number of games.

Bochum come into this match off the back of winning three of their last five games defeating Hoffenheim 2-0, Freiburg 2-1 and FC Augsburg 3-2 last time out. Their two defeats in this run came by 2-1 and 1-0 scorelines against Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen.

Five of Marco Rose’s sides last five matches has seen the over 2.5 goals market land, having defeated Stuttgart 2-1, before losing to Sporting Lisbon and Bayern 3-1 and 3-2 either side of a 3-1 victory away at Wolfsburg. Last time out Dortmund hammered Besiktas 5-0 in the Champions League thanks to goals from Donyell Malen, Marco Reus (2) and Erling Haaland (2).

Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

BOCHUM VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 19/40

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach: Over 2.5 Goals - 4/7

The third and final tip from the Bundesliga sees RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach go head to head in a battle of 11th versus 13th.

Both teams have had hectic seasons, as the home side have scored 25 and conceded 18 in 14 games, whilst Gladbach have found the back of the net 18 times and leaked 24 in the same number of games.
Leipzig’s last four matches have all seen over 2.5 goals scored in them, following 5-0 and 2-1 victories over Club Brugge and Manchester City in the Champions League, however, 3-1 and 2-1 defeats to Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin in the Bundesliga cost head coach Jesse Marsch his job.

Four of Gladbach’s last five have seen over 2.5 goals in them, having defeated Bochum 2-1 at the end of October, as well as Greuther Furth 4-0, before suffering two humiliating 4-1 and 6-0 defeats in back to back matches against FC. Koln and Freiburg.

The last meeting between these sides back in February saw Leipzig run out as 3-2 winners in the Bundesliga, thanks to goals by Christopher Nkunku, Yussuf Poulsen and Alexander Sorloth, having initially been 2-0 down following early strikes by Jonas Hofmann and Marcus Thuram.

Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

RB LEIPZIG VS BORUSSIA MONCHENGLADBACH: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/7

Fiorentina vs Salernitana: Over 2.5 Goals - 4/6

The final tip on this list comes from Serie A where sixth-place Fiorentina host bottom of the table Salernitana.

Fiorentina have scored 27 goals and conceded 22 in 16 matches, whilst their opponents have found the back of the net just 11 times and leaked 33. A player who will be hoping to add to his goal tally is the highly-rated Dusan Vlahovic who has 13 goals and two assists to his name for Fiorentina in 16 Serie A matches this season.

All of the home sides last four matches have seen over 2.5 goals in them, as Fiorentina have beaten the likes of AC Milan 4-3, Sampdoria 3-1 and Bologna 3-2, as well as losing 2-1 away at Empoli, showing that their aim is to purely outscore the opposition due to their lack of defensive stability in recent weeks.

Meanwhile, just one of Salernitana’s last five have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them, which was in a 3-0 loss against Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico in early November.

Serie A Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

FIORENTINA VS SALERNITANA: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/6

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