The Most Statistically-Backed Over 2.5 Goals Tips - 1/12/21

Napoli Mertens
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Sassuolo vs Napoli: Over 2.5 Goals - 3/5

The first game on this list of best statistically backed over 2.5 goals tips comes from the Serie A, where league leaders Napoli travel to 12th place Sassuolo.

All of Sassuolo’s last five matches have seen over 2.5 goals be scored following their 3-1 victory away at AC Milan last time out. Prior to this, they had beaten Juventus 2-1, before managing back to back losses against Empoli 2-1 and Udinese 3-2, as well as a 2-2 draw at home to Cagliari.

On the other hand, four of Napoli’s last five games have seen over 2.5 goals fly in, as they beat Lazio 4-0 in their last match thanks to goals from Piotr Zielinski, Dries Mertens (2) and Fabian Ruiz. Prior to this Luciano Spaletti’s side had suffered back to back losses against Spartak Moscow 2-1 in the Europa League, as well as 3-2 versus Inter Milan. Their other match that saw over 2.5 goals scored in it was in a 2-1 win over Legia Warsaw in early November.

In each of these sides’ last five matches, there has been a combined average of 3.8 goals.

Serie A - Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

SASSUOLO VS NAPOLI: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 3/5

Everton vs Liverpool: Over 2.5 Goals - 8/13

On Wednesday night Everton take on Liverpool at Goodison Park in the Merseyside derby with the away side coming is as heavy favourites.

Three of Everton’s last five matches have seen over 2.5 goals be scored in them, however, these have all been in defeats, as the Toffees have been beaten 3-0 by Manchester City, as well as 2-1 versus Wolverhampton Wanderers and 5-2 at home to Watford.

The same number of Liverpool’s last five matches have landed in the over 2.5 goals category, following back to back 4-0 victories over Southampton and Arsenal in the Premier League, as well as in a 3-2 loss against West Ham United at the London Stadium in early November.

In each of these sides last five matches there is a combined average of over 3.1 goals scored and the last time the Merseyside Derby took place at Goodison Park, the match finished in a 2-2 draw in October 2020, as goals by Michael Keane and Dominic Calvert-Lewin cancelled out strikes by Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah.

Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

EVERTON VS LIVERPOOL: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 8/13

Bologna vs Roma: Over 2.5 Goals - 8/11

Next up is a battle of ninth versus fifth in Serie A as Bologna host AS Roma at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara.

Just two of Bologna’s last five games have seen the over 2.5 goals market land, with one being a 3-0 loss to Napoli in last September, whilst the other was in a 2-1 away win at Sampdoria on 7th November as Mattias Svanberg and Marko Arnautovic both got on the scoresheet.

Meanwhile, three of Roma’s last five outings have seen the market land, following a 2-2 draw with Bode/Glimt in the Europa Conference League, as well as in a 3-2 loss at Venezia and in a 4-0 hammering of Zorya Luhansk.

The last time these two sides met at Bologna, Roma ran out as 5-1 winners in December last year thanks to an Andrea Poli own goal, as well as strikes by Edin Dzeko, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Jordan Veretout and Henrikh Mkhitaryan.

Serie A - Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

BOLOGNA VS ROMA: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 8/11

Inter Milan vs Spezia: Over 2.5 Goals - 3/8

The third tip from Serie A sees the champions Inter Milan host Spezia at the San Siro in what is third versus 17th in the table.

Simone Inzaghi’s side have been involved in two matches from their last five that have had over 2.5 goals scored in this, following a 3-1 win over Sheriff in the Champions League, as well as in a five-goal thriller against Napoli that they edged 3-2 thanks to goals from Hakan Calhanoglu, Ivan Perisic and Lautaro Martinez.

On the other hand, Spezia have seen two of their last five fixtures have over 2.5 goals in them, as they were heavily beaten 5-2 by Atalanta in late November, as well as 3-0 by Fiorentina in late October.

When these two sides last met at the San Siro, Inter ran out as 2-1 winners in December last year as Achraf Hakimi and Romelu Lukaku goals gave them a valuable three points, whilst a late strike from Roberto Piccoli turned out to be a late consolation goal.

Serie A - Over 2.5 Goals Tips

skybet betting tip

INTER MILAN VS SPEZIA: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 3/8

PSG vs Nice: Over 2.5 Goals - 8/15

The final game on this list comes from Ligue 1 where runaway league leaders PSG host third-place Nice at the Parc des Princes.

PSG come into this match having seen all over their last five matches produce over 2.5 goals, following a 3-2 win at Bordeaux in Ligue 1, before winning back to back league fixtures against both Nantes and Saint-Etienne 3-1. In PSG’s last two Champions League outings, they have drawn 2-2 away at RB Leipzig and lost 2-1 versus Manchester City.

Nice have been involved in just two matches from their last five with over 2.5 goals in them, having beaten both Clermont and Angers by 2-1 scorelines.

PSG have won the last three matches between these two sides in Ligue 1 with over 2.5 goals in them, having won 4-1, 3-0 and 2-1.

Ligue 1 Over 2.5 Goals Tips

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PSG VS NICE: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 8/15

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