The first game on this list of best statistically backed over 2.5 goals tips comes from the Serie A, where league leaders Napoli travel to 12th place Sassuolo.
All of Sassuolo’s last five matches have seen over 2.5 goals be scored following their 3-1 victory away at AC Milan last time out. Prior to this, they had beaten Juventus 2-1, before managing back to back losses against Empoli 2-1 and Udinese 3-2, as well as a 2-2 draw at home to Cagliari.
On the other hand, four of Napoli’s last five games have seen over 2.5 goals fly in, as they beat Lazio 4-0 in their last match thanks to goals from Piotr Zielinski, Dries Mertens (2) and Fabian Ruiz. Prior to this Luciano Spaletti’s side had suffered back to back losses against Spartak Moscow 2-1 in the Europa League, as well as 3-2 versus Inter Milan. Their other match that saw over 2.5 goals scored in it was in a 2-1 win over Legia Warsaw in early November.
In each of these sides’ last five matches, there has been a combined average of 3.8 goals.