The Most Statistically-Backed Over 2.5 Goals Tips - 16/2/22

The first tip on this list is Red Bull Salzburg against Bayern Munich in the round of 16 in this season’s Champions League.

When these two sides met last campaign, the over 2.5 goals market landed twice, as Bayern hammered the Austrian champions 6-2 in Salzburg, as well as 3-1 at the Allianz Arena where Robert Lewandowski, Kingsley Coman and Leroy Sane all got on the scoresheet.

Salzburg have the over 2.5 goals market in three of their last five Champions League matches, following a 2-1 victory over Lille in late September, before beating Wolfsburg 3-1 and losing 2-1 to the German Bundesliga outfit.

Meanwhile, the over 2.5 goals market has landed in all of Bayern’s last five matches, of which Julian Nagelsmann’s side suffered shock 4-2 and 2-1 losses to VFL Bochum and Borussia Monchengladbach on either side of 4-0, 4-1 and 3-2 victories against Koln, Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig.

On Wednesday, a crucial Championship fixture takes place at London Road, as 22nd in the table Peterborough United go head to head with 21st place Reading as both sides look to enhance their chances of surviving relegation.

The last meeting between these two sides resulted in a 3-1 victory for Reading at the Madejski Stadium back in early September where John Swift and Tom Dele-Bashiru (2) both got on the scoresheet, with Nathan Thompson’s 74th-minute goal turning out to be a consolation goal.

Peterborough actually come into this game in better form, having beaten QPR 2-0 in the FA Cup earlier this month and drew 2-2 with Birmingham City in late January where they blew a two-goal lead having gone 2-0 up through Jack Marriott and Jonson Clarke-Harris. Darren Ferguson’s men have lost all of their other three matches 1-0 to Preston, as well as 4-0 and 2-0 against Cardiff City and Sheffield United.

Reading have lost all of their last five matches and will be hoping for this to change at London Road on Wednesday, having been beaten 3-2, 2-1, 4-0 and 4-3 by Coventry City, Bristol City, QPR and Huddersfield Town, on top of a 2-0 defeat to Luton Town in late January.

Inter Milan versus Liverpool is the second tip from the Champions League on this list over matches to have over 2.5 goals in them.

Simone Inzaghi’s men have seen three of their last five fixtures have over 2.5 goals in them, having beaten Empoli 3-2 in the Coppa Italia, as well as defeating Venezia 2-1 and losing 2-1 to AC Milan in the Milan derby. The Nerazzurri's last two matches have seen them beat Roma 2-0 and draw 1-1 away at Napoli.

On the other hand, Liverpool have won all of their last five matches, with two of them having over 2.5 goals in them, which were in back to back 3-1 victories over Crystal Palace and Cardiff City in the aftermath of their 2-0 aggregate victory over Arsenal in the Carabao Cup semi-finals. Jurgen Klopp has also seen his side beat Brentford 2-0 and Burnley 1-0 in the last two outings.

In La Liga, Atletico Madrid hosts Levante at the Wanda Metropolitano in a vital match for each club’s seasons.

Diego Simeone’s side currently sit outside of the top four on goal difference coming into this game, whilst Levante are bottom of the Spanish top-flight with just 11 points from 23 league games, 13 adrift of Granada in 17th.

Four of Atleti’s last five games have seen the over 2.5 goals market land, having earned a dramatic 4-3 victory over Getafe last time out thanks to a Mario Hermoso strike, following a 4-2 loss to Barcelona, as well as a 3-2 win against Valencia, on top of a 2-0 defeat to Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey and a 2-2 draw wth Villarreal.

Levante’s form is as you’d expect, as they have lost four out of their last five matches, following 4-2 and 3-0 losses to Real Betis and Getafe, on top of 2-0 and 5-0 defeats to Cadiz and Villarreal. Their last victory came on January 8th against Mallorca by a 2-0 scoreline as Roberto Soldado and Jose Morales both got on the scoresheet.

The final tip on this list comes from the Australian A-League where Wellington Pheonix takes on Brisbane Roar at Sky Stadium.

As things stand, Wellington are seventh in the standings, whilst Brisbane currently sit 10th, three points behind their opponents having also played 10 games.

Three of Wellington’s last five matches have seen the over 2.5 goals market land, as prior to their recent 1-1 draw with Adelaide United and 1-0 win over Melbourne Victory, they had defeated Macarthur 3-1, Western United 2-1 and been thumped 4-0 by Adelaide.

Brisbane also managed a 3-1 victory over Macarthur in their last match, but, were defeated 2-1 by Newcastle Jets off the back of a 3-0 win against Western Sydney Wanderers and a 3-1 loss to Adelaide.