The Most Statistically-Backed Over 2.5 Goals Tips - 17/12/21

On Friday night, Bundesliga 2 league leaders St Pauli take on 15th in the table Holstein Kiel at Holstein-Stadion.

The over 2.5 goals market has landed in each of Holstein’s last five matches, as they have drawn 2-2 with Sandhausen, as well as losing 2-1 to both Nurnberg and Heidenheim, and even managed two 2-1 wins over Werder Bremen and Dynamo Dresden.

Meanwhile, over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of St Pauli’s last five matches, with all of the coming before their 1-1 draw against Fortunate Dusseldorf last time out, as they beat the likes of Sandhausen 3-1, before earning two more impressive victories over Nurnberg and Schalke 04 via 3-2 and 2-1 scorelines. Prior to these wins, St. Pauli were thrashed 4-0 by Darmstadt.

In July 2021, St. Pauli thrashed Holstein 3-0 via goals by Leart Paqarade, Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Guido Burgstaller.

The second tip on this list is a more obscure one, as it comes from the Eerste Division, otherwise referred to as the Dutch second-tier.

This game is a battle of 18th versus top of the table, with Almere scoring 31 and conceding 40 in 19 games, whilst the away side have fired in 47 and let in 25.

Two of Almere’s last five matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them, of which one was in a 4-4 draw with Excelsior on 14th November, whilst the other was in a 3-0 loss to Emmen late last month.

Three of Volednam’s last five games have contained over 2.5 goals in them, of which one was last time out in a 3-2 victory over PSV II, whilst another was in a 4-4 draw with Ajax. They also beat Den Bosch 3-0 in late November.

In early October, Volendam emerged victorious against Friday’s opponents by a 3-2 scoreline, as Robert Muhren scored a brace whilst Martijn Kaars also got on the scoresheet as they earned all three points.

An out of form Wolfsburg side face the unenviable task of going head to head with Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena on Friday night, with Julain Nagelsmann’s side looking to extend their gap to Borussia Dortmund at the top of the table.

Bayern have scored 52 goals and conceded 16 in 16 matches, which in all truth is demonstrated by recent results, as they have won all of their last five matches, following a 1-0 victory over Arminia Bielefeld, as well as 3-2 and 3-0 victories over Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona, before earning two more victories over Mainz 05 2-1 and Stuttgart 5-0, with Robert Lewandowski managing a brace in the latter, whilst Serge Gnabry netted a hattrick.

On the other hand, Wolfsburg have lost all of their last five matches, seeing them slide down to 11th in the table despite having such a promising start. Wolfsburg have been beaten 3-1 by both Borussia Dortmund and Lille, either side of a 3-0 loss to Mainz and were even defeated 2-0 and 3-2 by Stuttgart and FC Koln.

In the last meeting between these two sides, Bayern narrowly beat Wolfsburg 3-2 at the Volkswagen Arena via goals by Jamal Musiala and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (2).

Lazio and Genoa face off at the Stadio Olimpico on Friday, which is a clash of ninth versus 18th.
Maurizio Sarri’s men have scored 33 and conceded 32 in 17 league matches, whilst the visitors have found the back of the net 18 times but let in 34.

Four of Lazio’s last five games have all had over 2.5 goals scored in them, as they were beaten 2-1 away at Sassuolo last time out in the league off the back of winning 3-1 at Sampdoria. Prior to their victory over the latter mentioned side, they drew 4-4 with Udinese and were thumped 4-0 at Napoli.

Just two of Genoa’s last five games have seen the over 2.5 goals market land, with both of these being in defeats to Sampdoria 3-1 and AC Milan 3-0.

In May, when these two sides met, Lazio edged a seven-goal thriller 4-3 with Joaquin Correa (2), Ciro Immobile and Luis Alberto’s goals sealing all three points for the Rome-based side.

Bottom of the table Salernitana host top of the table Inter Milan in Serie A on Friday night in what looks like an impossible task for the home team.

Salernitana have just eight points to their name and have conceded 37 times in 17 league games, whilst Inter have amassed 40 points, scoring 43 times and conceded just 15 in 17 matches.

Over 2.5 goals have only been scored in one of Salernitana’s last five matches, which was in a 4-0 away defeat at Fiorentina. They have lost their last four games in general, 1-0 to Genoa in the Coppa Italia, as well as 2-0 to bot AC Milan and Juventus, as well as the formerly mentioned match against Fiorentina.

Meanwhile, two of Inter’s last three matches have seen the over 2.5 goals market land, having thumped both AS Roma and Cagliari 3-0 and 4-0 either side of a 2-0 loss to Real Madrid in the Champions League.