UFC 262 Betting Preview and Prediction

UFC 262 Preview

UFC 262 Preview

The global pandemic has rocked and withered the world of sports as we know it, and yet, a year on as restrictions begin to ease, the UFC has come out the other end a different beast.

Dana White and co have thrived during these mad times, putting on consistent events and not only keeping existing fans entertained and distracted during these unprecedented times, but the organisation has also attracted a new wave of spectators.

As fans in the US begin attending stadiums once more, the UFC continues to raise the stakes and put on blockbuster shows. UFC 262 on May 16 promises to do exactly that, with the card being stacked from top to bottom.

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Lightweight gold up for grabs

Headlining the bout is Charles Oliveira v Michael Chandler for the vacant Lightweight belt. Khabib Nurmagomedov's official retirement left the crown without a king, resulting in this interesting match-up between the Brazilian and American.

Dustin Poirier recently revealed that he passed up the opportunity to fight for the title against the former, instead preferring the lucrative trilogy with the sport's biggest name, Conor McGregor.

Not many can argue with Dustin's motivations, nor the UFC's decision to push on and find Oliveira an opponent. Chandler emerged as 'the guy' after his emphatic first round KO of fan-favourite Dan Hooker back in January, with such an impressive display seeing his name be chosen over Justin Gaethje.

Charles Oliveira v Michael Chandler Fight Breakdown

Critic's were silenced on January 24, as Dan Hooker went crashing down to the canvas barely regaining consciousness before Chandler was already half-way in the air completing a back-flip off the Octagon. Labelled the 'greatest UFC debut' by some, the former Bellator Champion showed he belongs with the cream of the cop.

At just 2 minutes 30 seconds though, there isn't much to analyse on Chandler in the UFC. He showcased a pressing style and a willingness to close distance, and boy does he hold some heat with those hands. It was a quick left hook that sweetly connected on the Hangman, who admittedly looked tentative from the off. Power was the main takeaway from the American's debut, but will this play a part in Oliveira's thinking on the night?

History would say no. The Brazilian is a figure that loves to advance forward, smothering his opponents with unorthodox elbows, kicks, knees, and just about anything else he can throw. His stand-up game is not necessarily allusive though, and we would hold Chandler the more likely to land a KO. His short odds of 23/10 to do so justify this thought process, compared to Oliveira's 9/2.

Despite his opponent being a NCAA Division I wrestler, the Brazilian will no doubt be looking to go the ground. Do Bronx does not care for his opposition's credentials, as on the mat, nobody in the division can match his pressure and mount control. Oliveira dismantled Tony Ferguson in his last showing, submitting Kevin Lee prior. No fighter in UFC history has more submission victories (14) than the 31-year-old.

Such a prestigious record no doubt plays its part in the betting odds, with Oliveira coming through at 11/5 to win via such. Of Chandler's last nine wins, just one has been from submission, with his much larger odds of 11/1 being no surprise.

The American is not an easy man to take down though, and an outright price of 11/10, we're gunning for the 'upset' in this one.

UFC 262 TKO/KO Single

betfair betting tip

MICHAEL CHANDLER KO/TKO & ROUND 1 @ 9/2

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Tony Ferguson Looking For Redemption

Justin Gaethje completely broke the aura that surrounded Tony Ferguson back in May 2020. The former put on a striking clinic, calculating his shots and punishing El Cucuy like we've never seen before. Such was the dominant fighter that Ferguson was, fans were not quick to right the cult-hero off quickly, but questions lingered leading into his next fight, as to whether he would ever be the same again.

Although his opponent was top contender Charles Oliveira, of whom we have already discussed, the American looked severely weathered. He was out-worked on the feet but also taken down so easily, then dominated on the floor from all angles. Ferguson's speed and output has clearly started to diminish - it's a tad despairing to be painting the legendary figure in this light, but there can be no downplaying what we have seen from his last two fights.

In the opposing corner, Beneil Dariush is really coming into his own. A rising name in the Lightweight division, the 31-year-old is on a six-fight win streak, and a win in May could push him into top five territory.

It would, however, be very premature to completely overlook Ferguson in this match-up. We are expecting a tough fought-battle, with scrambles on the ground. The odds reflect such thinking, with Dariush just coming in as the outright favourite at 4/6, with El Cucuy being found at 5/4.

With there being little value in either man, we are interested to see what odds will be offered on the fight to go the distance.


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