UFC 270: Gane v Ngannou Prediction, Tips, Odds & Offers

Gane UFC

Grant McQuillan

Brandon Moreno v Deiveson Figueiredo

Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo will clash in the co-main event of the evening as the two battle it out for the flyweight title for the third time in under two years. In the first bout, the Brazilian kept the 125 lb belt around his waist at the fight end as Moreno upset all the odds to end up getting a draw in a fight where the Mexican seriously burst onto the scene as Figueiredo was deducted one point in round 3 due to a groin strike.

We all knew what Moreno was capable of with his array of submissions within his black belt pedigree and his Mexican-like boxing. Unanimous decisions came against Kai Kara-France and Jussier Formiga just before beating Brandon Royval in the first round just prior to the first bout with Figueiredo.

However, in reality, when you take out the deducted point, the then-defending champion probably won the fight. However, the Mexican's slick boxing was on display throughout as he hurt and wobbled the champ a couple of times and heading into the last round, it seemed the upset was on. However, Figueiredo did what champions do and pulled the fight back in his favour.

On the other hand, there was absolutely no disputing the second fight, and Moreno became the first Mexican champion in stunning style, forcing the tap from the champion with a rear-naked choke of the highest order. It rightfully so won performance of the night and it reopened part of Moreno's arsenal we hadn't seen for some time with that being his first submission win since getting the job done with a rear-naked choke on Dustin Ortiz in 2017.

In truth, this fight can go every single way and there is an argument for each following the outcome of a submission last time around. If you believe Figueiredo turns back the clock and does through a points or a TKO/KO victory, that's fair. If you believe Moreno puts on a clinic of boxing and grappling, that's a fair point too.

However, many seem to be sleeping on the Brazilian here, and at 34, this is is his last real chance to get right back in there with the likes of Askar Askarov and Kara-France making waves - two people who failed to beat the current champ. We're tipping up a Figueiredo victory on points here as we don't see him slipping into another submission as this was the only time the Northeast Brazil jiu-jitsu champion black belt has ever been questioned on the ground.

Other fighters to watch

Although much of the attention here falls on the shoulders of the main and co-main events, there are some up-and-coming talents and already established names to note. One of them is Figueiredo's training partner, Michel Pereira.

The Brazilian has had a wild career in MMA with 10 wins overall coming in the form of seven submissions and nine decision victories, but at the same time, has had two no contests and one disqualification. Following victories over Zelim Imadaev, Khaos Williams, and Niko Price, Pereira is unbeaten in his last three and we're approaching two years since his exceptional flying knee KO over Danny Roberts. He faces André Fialho, and we're backing the Brazilian to get the job done here in KO fashion on the UFC debutant.

The cousin of Khabib, Said Nurmagomedov, faces off with Cody Stamann after 14 wins from 16 professional fights. It will be his fifth UFC bout too, and following a loss to Raoni Barcelos, Nurmagomedov returned to winning ways after a fantastic KO over Mark Striegl. Stamann is on a two-fight losing streak and this could be the bout another Dagestani makes a name for himself.

Gane v Ngannou Odds and Prediction

We've had three fights of Deontay Wilder v Tyson Fury in boxing, and now we've got the MMA version as Cyril Gane clashes with Francis Ngannou where bad blood lies and arguably the biggest heavyweight clash in recent times takes place.

In reality, there isn't much technical analysis to be had here, and just like in every Wilder v Fury matchup, it likely goes one of two ways: Ngannou TKO/KO or Gane gets the win. It's near impossible to see how the champion is able to go the distance with someone of Gane's ability in the striking department, and as we have seen in the interim bout with Derrick Lewis, as the rounds go on, the Frenchman will just break you down and eventually force you into to covering up as he charges for the TKO.

Gane does have two submission victories on his record in the UFC too, and he is yet to taste defeat in his entire kickboxing and MMA record, which, surprisingly, sits at only 23-0 across the two disciplines (13 kickboxing wins, 10 MMA victories).

On the other hand where there is absolutely no surprise, Ngannou has never gone the distance and won, and his three defeats are in this manner as Stipe Miocic, Lewis, and Zoumana Cisse all managed to stop the world's hardest puncher on record during the distance.

With all this in mind, there's a chance it goes the full fight again with Gane getting the win there. However, we're tipping up under 3.5 rounds as the interim champion has three decision wins and four via TKO/KO victories in MMA, and Ngannou is likely to put it on him that much, the stoppage may just eventually come in one way or another.

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