UFC Fight Night: Whittaker v Gastelum Preview, Tips & Prediction

ufc robert whittaker
⚡️Get up to £100 in Bet Credits⚡️
New Customers only. Up to £100* in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5* or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.
Claim Bonus

UFC Whittaker v Gastelum Preview

This weekend’s UFC Fight Night sees Robert Whittaker face Kelvin Gastelum in the middleweight division. Whittaker’s last fight was back in October, where he comfortably beat the threatening Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision in Abu Dhabi, whilst Gastelum fought recently, beating Ian Heinisch in February and has taken this fight on four weeks notice.

This bout is a huge opportunity for Gastelum to move up the rankings, where he is currently the #8 contender and he could possibly earn a title fight if he is to beat the Australian, who is the #1 contender and no doubt one win away from a rematch with Israel Adesanya.

The two fighters were meant to meet at UFC 234 back in 2018, before the then champion Whittaker had to pull out due to injury. Gastelum is finally getting his chance after accepting the fight on short notice, with #2 contender Paulo Costa originally being scheduled to fight but pulling out due to illness. We take a look at how this fight goes down, the odds, and our tip for the fight.

Whittaker v Gastelum Tips

skybet betting tip

WHITTAKER TO WIN ON POINTS @ 11/8

How does Whittaker win the fight?

Whittaker won't be hunting for a knockout, as this has never been his game and how he is one of the most skilled middleweights of the past decade who can always bring out the points win. In fact, with a black belt in Gōjū-ryū karate, that emphasis on soft techniques really shines through in Whittaker taking fights long distances.

However, this is definitely a high-risk fight for the “The Reaper”, with Gastelum getting back in the win column and potentially back on track to cause damage at 185 against Heinisch. The original fight against Costa would almost certainly have given the winner a rematch against Adesanya, and although a win against Gastelum will likely do the same for the number one contender, another points win for the Australian won't prove much for that potential rematch.

With Whittaker the more intelligent fighter and skilled over the distance, many will be expecting a slugfest brought to the table by his opponent, and the best strategy for the Whittaker is to play it safe and win the rounds, boxing behind his jab, striking low with kicks and utilising his slight reach advantage. In fact, we expect an extremely similar fight to both fighters' bouts with Darren Till.

At the same time, Gastelum’s chin has proven its worth over the last few years and whilst Whittaker no doubt has the power to knock him out, it is not worth the risk of being over-eager and adversely aggressive to pursue a stoppage in the hopes of making a statement to the rest of the division.

Just like against Till and Cannonier - two knockout artists - Whittaker will take Gastelum into deeper waters and test his cardio just like Adesanya did over their 25-minute bout in 2019. If you ever remember correctly, the Australian once blitzed the American on a track run and barely broke a sweat while Gastelum threw up back on The Ultimate Fighter back in 2018.

Minor details, perhaps, but a noticeable superior ability for sure.

Whittaker v Gastelum Prediction

skybet betting tip

EITHER FIGHTER VIA STOPPAGE @ 6/5

How does Gastelum win the fight?

Gastelum will be desperate for a win, and in truth, he must get the victory to get inside the top half of the rankings and have any chance of a rematch with Adesanya. Having lost three of his last four fights, a victory over the former champion Whittaker would skyrocket him up the rankings and put him in contention for a title fight, or at the very least, a number one contender bout. He may also fancy his chances in a fight against Adesanya after coming closer to beating the Nigerian than anyone else in the division, stunning him on a couple of occasions.

To win the fight, Gastelum needs to make it a war and apply pressure from the off, keeping the fight in the proverbial 'phone booth'. He found success with this against Adesanya and also recorded knockout wins over Michael Bisping and Tim Kennedy, and proved against Till that unless you keep at a distance, Gastelum is ready to pounce with serious intent.

Meanwhile, Whittaker has been knocked out by Adesanya and Stephen Thompson when exchanging punches close up, which suits Gastelum down to the ground, so this is another clear fight where one man looks to take the fight further, whilst the other aims for a stoppage.

No doubt Gastelum has the gas tank to take Whittaker towards the end, despite the infamous cardio battle between the two on The Ultimate Fighter. However, with the former champion's superior intelligence, ability and overall experience in these latter rounds against the likes of Yoel Romero (x2) and Till, Gastelum will either need the performance of his life across five rounds, or the knockout.

Whittaker v Gastelum Odds

skybet betting tip

GASTELUM TO WIN VIA TKO/KO @ 9/2

Our UFC Prediction

Quite frankly, there is not much in a knockout finish for Whittaker, but more so just an aim to get another win on his incredible CV, as after beating stars like Cannonier and Till consecutively, he was already next for a title shot when Adesanya comes back down from light heavyweight. So, nothing changes for Whittaker but the opponent in this fight and a win is simply a win for him to get Dana White to book Adesanya v Whittaker 2. Plus, both men are without stoppage win since 2017 and we expect this to continue with the fight currently priced at 10/11 to go the distance.

As good as Gastelum’s combination stand-up game is, he has just one win since 2018 and sometimes it does just look as if he is too small for middleweight in stature, and his height and reach disadvantage will play into Whittaker's hands over the course of an intelligently fought fight for him.

The ex-champion is also a monster over this distance. Beating Romero over 50 minutes is unheard of, whilst taking apart the threatening and intelligent game of Till across 25 minutes and avoiding the knockout against Cannonier over 15 minutes is title shot worthy in itself.

Whittaker to win by decision is 11/8 and our tip for this fight.

By Tom Eaton

Free Bets & Offers


Bet £5 & Get £20 FREE BETS! 😍
NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. ODDS OF 1/1 OR GREATER. 2 X £10 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS. FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG
Claim Bonus
⚡️Get up to £100 in Bet Credits⚡️
New Customers only. Up to £100* in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5* or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.
Claim Bonus
📲 MOBILE OFFER - BET £10 & GET £50 IN FREE BETS!!!!
New customers who register via mobile only, using Promo code H50 only, Min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 5 x £10/€10, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below.
Claim Bonus

🏆 £20 Risk Free First Bet - Money Back in CASH 🏆
New customers only, limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your first bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/€20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
🔴 Bet £10, Get £20 in free bets! 🔴
New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Claim Bonus
🏆 £20 Risk Free First Bet - Money Back in CASH 🏆
New customers only, limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Betfair account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your first bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/€20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
✅ BET £20 AND GET YOUR MONEY BACK IN CASH IF IT LOSES! ✅
New customers only. Deposit £20 using Debit Card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
BET £10 & GET A £10 FREE BET! 💪
New UK customers only. £10 Min Deposit. 100% matched free bet on your first deposit of £10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bets. Debit Card deposits only. This offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. Full Terms apply. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Bet The Responsible Way.
Claim Bonus
100% Welcome Bonus Up To £50 🙌
The offer is available to new players who made their first deposit. Enter bonus code TONY50 and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. 18+ T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
🟠 Bet £10 Get £30 + £10 casino bonus! 🟠
New customers only – Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit method and withdrawal restrictions apply & Full T&C’s apply
Claim Bonus
⚡️ Bet £10 Get £10 with EnergyBet! ⚡️
18+. UK Only. Available for new players who have registered at EnergyBet after 31.08.2020 and valid only for their first qualifying Sportsbook bet. Cash stakes only. Min £10 deposit required. Min. total odds of 3/4. Min. odds for each selection 1/4. Bonus amount £10. Bonus funds to be wagered 1x on odds of 4/5 or higher. Virtual Sports Bets do not qualify. Cashed out bets do not qualify. Other T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware. Please bet responsibly.
Claim Bonus
🌟 Bet £10 & Get £20 in Bonuses 🌟
18+ New Customers only. Deposit, opt in and place a £10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive a £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days.  Plus a £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of £250. T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Claim Bonus
♦️ Bet £15 & Get £15 FREE BET + 2 x £5.50 tickets to our Poker Tournaments! ♦️
18+ | New UK and Ireland customers only | Min £/€15 deposit get max 2 x £5.50 tickets to FootyAccums Poker League | Bet min £/€15 on sports and get £/€15 free sports bet, minimum odds must be 2.0 | Tickets credited automatically after eligible first deposit | Tickets expire in 30 days | Free bet valid for 7 days, stake not returned | T&C’s apply | BeGambleAware.org
Claim Bonus
100% Matched Free Bet up to £10! ⚡️
New UK customers only. £10 Min Deposit. 100% matched free bet on your first deposit of £10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bets. Debit Card deposits only. This offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. Full Terms apply. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Bet The Responsible Way.
Claim Bonus
When The Fun Stops. Stop.
Oddschanger

Facilitating the UK's largest online betting community, we provide our own tips on popular betting markets as well as offering the latest bets and offers.

Gamble Aware aims to promote responsibility in gambling. They provide information to help you make informed decisions about your gambling.

18+
Be Gamble Aware - Helpline: 0808 8020 133
Disclaimer

Oddschanger is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2021 Copyright Oddschanger. All Rights reserved. v2.4.3 (1)