The two years following on from Garcia’s playoff success, saw Patrick Reed in 2018 and Tiger Woods last year both claim the Masters championship by just one stroke. This could be put down to the increased competitiveness of professional golf now, compared to the Woods-peak era, and the years proceeding that, where very few golfers really took the world by storm.
Now we look at the start list and can say with confidence that over a dozen golfers are in with a great shout of winning and a one-stroke margin of victory for the third year in succession is priced at 3/1.
It is now over nine years since Charl Schwartzel won the Masters by two strokes, the last man to do so here, which is a strange occurrence given how often it is tightly contested at Augusta. In comparison, the last four winners of the USPGA all did so by a two-shot margin. But just because it has not happened for a while does not mean it is unfeasible, as it only takes one player to break away from a stacked field late on Sunday with a few back-to-back birdies on the card for this to become reality - a two-stroke margin of victory is priced at 11/4.
To prove how quickly winning margins can become large, the 2016 Masters is the perfect case study. Jordan Spieth led by five strokes going into the back nine on Sunday, but after a complete capitulation finishing with horror show on the 12th hole, a quadruple-bogey saw him fall way behind new leader Danny Willett, as the Englishman won by a three stroke margin, after a staggering eight-stroke swing on the back nine. Being the most difficult to predict happening, a three-stroke winning margin is available at longer odds of 11/2.