UFC 271: Adesanya v Whittaker II Prediction, Tips & Offers

ufc robert whittaker

Grant McQuillan

@Oddschanger UFC Prediction

skybet betting tip

I.ADESANYA & C.O’NEILL BOTH TO WIN, B.GREEN & K.PHILLIPS BOTH TO WIN BY DECISION @ 16/1

Adesanya v Whittaker Prediction

Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker are set to run it back this weekend at UFC 271 in what is the most anticipated rematch since Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor clashed in July. The two have gone in very different paths since the 2019 battle back in Australia with Whittaker putting on a clinic in his past three fights just as the champion started to lap the division while also failing in his move up to light heavyweight as Jan Błachowicz unanimously beat the middleweight king at 205 lbs.

It doesn't take anything away from Adesanya, however, who at 185 lbs, has only gone from strength to strength as he eased past Yoel Romero soon after beating Whittaker, before destroying Paulo Costa in arguably his best performance in his UFC career to date. Marvin Vettori was up next for the Nigerian, and once again, it was a striking clinic from the champion. In fact, since Adesanya last beat Whittaker two years ago, the only major difference he has against Whittaker is the fact that Błachowicz managed to take him down a handful of times and be defensively astute enough to keep the belt around his waist.

To say this is the blueprint to beating Adesanya is a bit of a weak analysis, because of course it is, and we've known that since the beginning of time. The 185 lbs king is weaker on the ground, but far from weak as he has 80% takedown defence while Błachowicz is the only man to consistently take him down and the Pole is very much known for his extraordinary strength. Whittaker, however, isn't, and he is also five inches smaller than the rangey striker which only adds to the already tricky equation to take him down. Everyone knows this is the way to beat Adesanya, but as always in MMA: it's never that simple.

Whittaker has, however, been all but faultless in his past few fights since losing to the champion, with Darren Till taking only two rounds off him, just as Jared Cannonier had a moment in the third round following 13 minutes of dominance by the Australian. Still though, Whittaker is going to need to call on his background in wrestling here, which has seen him win national and Commonwealth titles in the sport. He's also a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and a black belt in Hapkido, which is a martial art that involves a lot of joint locks and grappling.

Whittaker, as per, will sit comfortably in his Gōjū-ryū karate and I don't think this should be looked past too greatly either just because of Adesanya's near-untouchable striking range and ability. The challenger is a master at striking too and his set-up for head kicks and his clinical lead hook cannot be overlooked.

It could well go the distance here, but unless Whittaker can complete some takedowns, it's hard to see how Adesanya doesn't get the win. He is 4/11 to win, 13/8 by TKO/KO and 7/4 decision.

@Oddschanger UFC Prediction

skybet betting tip

I.ADESANYA & C.O’NEILL BOTH TO WIN, B.GREEN & K.PHILLIPS BOTH TO WIN BY DECISION @ 16/1

Lewis v Tuivasa Prediction

To start things off, Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa is 1/6 to not go the distance and even 2/7 for either fighter to win via TKO/KO. In reality, not much more analysis needs to be had from this point of view and the only way in which we see this fight ending is via that exact manner with nobody in the UFC boasting more TKO/KO victories than Lewis' 13, just as Tuivasa is now on a four-fight win streak of knocking out everybody.

In fact, only Augusto Sakai in the last fight has been able to go past the first round against Lewis, as Greg Hardy, Harry Hunsucker and Stefan Struve have all been dispatched in the first five minutes since the Australian lost to Sergey Spivak at the end of his three-fight losing streak.

To put further justification into the TKO/KO market, only two fights from Tuivasa's 16 have come via a decision, as he lost to Blagoy Ivanov back in 2019 in this manner, while he managed to beat Andrei Arlovski over three rounds a year prior.

Lewis, now 35 fights deep into his career, has seen only six fights go the distance, with his most recent being against Ilir Latifi five fights ago. With all this in mind, we find picking either Lewis (4/5) for TKO/KO or Tuivasa (9/4) is where the value is at here.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Cannonier and Derek Brunson will clash in the middleweight ranks just before the co-main, and the winner could well be in with a title shot next with number two ranked Marvin Vettori losing to Adesanya last year for the second time. It is also third (Cannonier) against fourth (Brunson), and a win for either of them surely sets up a title shot, depending on what actually happens in the main event. Cannonier is the favourite at 4/7.

Kyler Phillips was making tremendous waves in the MMA scene in America for the past couple of years and following his unanimous win over Song Yadong back in March last year, it looked as if the 26-year-old was a future contender at bantamweight. A majority decision loss to Raulian Paiva came four months later, however, and it knocked him down a peg or two. The 1/4 favourite here is expected to deliver a big display against Marcelo Rojo now and Rojo has won 16 and lost seven times and has won just three of his last six fights.

MMA veteran, Bobby Green, is also on the card as he takes on Nasrat Haqparast in what is set to be the American's 42nd MMA fight and incredibly, his sixth in the past 18 months. It was a throwback Green performance last time out as he TKO'd fellow UFC old-timer, Al Iaquinta, however, at 26 and despite losing to Dan Hooker last time around, Haqparast is still a man to keep an eye on with nine of his 13 wins coming via TKO/KO. Against a 35-year-old Green, he'll fancy his chances to get his first TKO/KO victory since 2019 when he dismantled Drew Dober in the first round.

Free Bets & Offers


😍 GET £30 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU PLACE ANY BET 😍
NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. 5P MINIMUM STAKE. 3 X £10 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS EXCLUDE VIRTUALS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG
Claim Bonus
🟢 Bet £10 & Get £50 in free bets! 🟡
For new customers. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
🔥 ✅ BET £10 & GET £60 IN FREE BETS! ✅ 🔥
New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+). First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
🏌🏻‍♂️ BET £10 GET £20 IN FREE BETS + 10 PLACES ON EACH-WAY BETS 🏌🏻‍♂️
*New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+.T&C's Apply **18+. 1/5 10 Places in the USPGA Championship. Pre-live each way bets on outright market only. Dead Heat rules apply. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
⚽️ GET £40 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £10 ON FOOTBALL ⚽️
New customer offer. Place a £10 Sportsbook bet on any Football market, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) between the 1st and 30th April — get £40 in free bets, valid 30 days. Only deposits via Cards will qualify. Free bets will be awarded after the qualifying bet has been settled. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+.
Claim Bonus
🟠 BET £10 & GET £30 IN FREE BETS + £10 CASINO BONUS 🟠
Min deposit £/€/$10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/€/$10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&C’s apply.
Claim Bonus
🙌 GET UP TO £50 IN FREE BETS 🙌
New users only. Free bets: place qual bets of £10-£50 (min odds 1/2, 2+ legs) in 1st 7 days to unlock. Awarded as 4 equal free bets that total 1st deposit amount. Min odds 1/1, 3+ legs, + expire in 7 days. Full T&Cs apply. 18+.
Claim Bonus
🏇🏼 50% UP TO £50 WELCOME BONUS 🏇🏼
18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms; See full terms; Terms apply; 18+
CLAIM HERE
🔸 GET MONEY BACK AS CASH UP TO £20 IF YOUR FIRST BET LOSES! 🔸
New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
✅ DEPOSIT £10 & GET £30 IN FREE BETS ✅
New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
🔴 GET £20 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £5 🔴
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
⚽️ BET £10 TODAY & GET £40 IN FREE BETS! ⚽️
Sign-up via Mobile using promo code N40 and place a bet of £10/€10 or more and we will give you 4x £10/€10 free bets. By entering the Promo code in the box above you agree to the full terms and conditions of this promotion as displayed below. See full terms below.
Claim Bonus
🔵 BET £10 & GET £20 IN FREE BETS + ACCA REWARDS OF YOUR CHOICE! 🔵
New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&C's Apply **18+. Choose either Boost or Insurance. Available for in-play/pre-match bets on selected sports. You cannot use specials, boosts, any free bet or any other promotion. A minimum of 5 selections and minimum odds of 1/5 per selection/leg to receive Acca Rewards. Minimum stake of £/€0.05. Max free bet refund of £/€20 per Acca for Insurance. Maximum bonus payout is €/£1,000 per Acca for boost. Free bets, cashed out or voided bets will not qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
⚫️ BET £10 & GET £20 IN FREE BETS! 🟠
*New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from crediting (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Claim Bonus
👋 50% UP TO £50 WELCOME BONUS 👋
18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms; See full terms; Terms apply; 18+
Claim Bonus
🔵 GET £20 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £5 🔵
18+ New UK & ROI Customers only. Min deposit £5. Min first £5 bet at minimum odds 1/2 to qualify for 1x 20 free bet. Certain deposit methods and bet types excl. Free bet valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Claim Bonus
✅ GET A FREE BET UP TO £25 + 10 FREE SPINS ✅
Place a £10 Sportsbook bet on any Horse Racing market between the 18th & 20th of February, at min. odds 1/5 (1.2) — get £45 in free bets on bet settlement, valid 30 days. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposits excluded). T&Cs apply. 18+.
Claim Bonus
GET A £30 MATCHED FREE BET IF YOUR FIRST FOOTBALL ACCA LOSES!!!! 🙌🙌🙌
*New UK customers only. Min Deposit: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. Debit card deposits only. This is offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. 18+ BeGambleAware.org Full terms apply.
Claim Bonus
🙌 BET £25 & GET 5x £5 IN FREE BETS! 🙌
Valid for new UK & Irish customers. Only customers registering and playing via mobile are eligible for this offer. Min qualifying deposit £25. Min odds apply for free bets. 2 day expiry for free bets. 18+.
Claim Bonus
🔹 GET £30 IN BONUSES WHEN YOU BET £5 🔹
18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £5 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days of registering, no cashout. Get 2x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus a £10 Slot Bonus, selected games, wager 20x to withdraw max £250. 7 day bonus expiry. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Claim Bonus

Facilitating the UK's largest online betting community, we provide our own tips on popular betting markets as well as offering the latest bets and offers.

Gamble Aware aims to promote responsibility in gambling. They provide information to help you make informed decisions about your gambling.

18+
Be Gamble Aware - Helpline: 0808 8020 133
Disclaimer

Oddschanger is owned and operated by Checkd Media. Contact [email protected] for more information.

© 2012 - 2022 Copyright Oddschanger. All Rights reserved. v2.7.4 (1)